A. Probably not.McParadigm wrote:If supporters of one team in a high interest two team national election were hanging up on pollsters...Mickey wrote:And like many Democrats, they suspect Trump supporters disproportionately hang up on pollsters
A. Wouldn’t pollsters be talking about how much harder it is to get responses this year?
B. Wouldn’t that leave the demographic part of the results drastically skewed Democrat, forcing them to either continue pursuing heterogeneous data or scrap the poll?
C. Since demographic information is included in the reports, wouldn’t anybody who looks…at all…be able to see on the surface that their sample is skewed?
D. Wouldn’t we see that indicated in an unprecedented difference between national presidential polls and state level Senate polls?
B. Yes. But it also might suggest that the Republican responses recorded are more lukewarm on Trump than GOP voters overall, because you're getting the people who don't think pollsters/the media are evil child molesters.
C. Yes
D. Not necessarily, since generally the same polling companies are doing the polling.
As I said when I posted it, this article is mostly delusional bullshit from people with holes in their brains. At the same time, if it's true that Trump voters are purposefully skewing polls, that might be interesting to keep in mind down the line, as, for instance, in Wisconsin, where Biden's average polling lead is smaller than Clinton's was on the eve of the election. As digster noted, independents aren't breaking for Trump the same way this year, at least not yet, and this whole thing is predicated on not having a financial meltdown in October which looks... pretty fucking likely. So maybe it doesn't matter! On the other hand if in late October Wisconsin is still *very* close, and ditto other rust belt states, then maybe we shouldn't be surprised if the national polls are off of the final result. That's why I posted it.
