Election 2020

[Bammer]

underperformed with white women

That's what she said

[scrub12]

[Strat]

Actually Trump underperformed with white women relative to 2016.

This indicates trump is up 3 points with white women since 2016. No?

https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2020/11 ... 2016-2020/

[Strat]

yea and thats why they went straight to the supreme court.

THere's nothing there.

[BurtReynolds]

It's hopeless. Utterly hopeless. They can't view things any other way. It's the single pinhole-sized lens through which everything in existence is viewed. You can't even call it marxism. I don't think class is even on the radar any more. It is all just "whiteness". They'll be screaming "white supremacy" into the grave, never having the slightest clue why they can't take advantage of shifting demographics.

Lmao why would you ever call it Marxism you weird little bogperson?

Because it shares many of the same starting points, has a similar mindset and uses many of the same tactics, and many of the most brainwashed zombies hilariously (mis-)identify themselves as marxists, you clueless bourgie dork.

[Simple Torture]

Could also be that all white people fall onto a spectrum of "benefits from white privilege" to "active racist," and where we fall on that spectrum doesn't really matter very much to people of color as we think it should.

Do you flog yourself at night before bed?

Well, he's married, so.

[Mickey]

It's hopeless. Utterly hopeless. They can't view things any other way. It's the single pinhole-sized lens through which everything in existence is viewed. You can't even call it marxism. I don't think class is even on the radar any more. It is all just "whiteness". They'll be screaming "white supremacy" into the grave, never having the slightest clue why they can't take advantage of shifting demographics.

Lmao why would you ever call it Marxism you weird little bogperson?

Because it shares many of the same starting points, has a similar mindset and uses many of the same tactics, and many of the most brainwashed zombies hilariously (mis-)identify themselves as marxists, you clueless bourgie dork.

Remind me, Mac--where in Capital does Marx say that the most important thing is to call your enemies racists?

[BurtReynolds]

It's hopeless. Utterly hopeless. They can't view things any other way. It's the single pinhole-sized lens through which everything in existence is viewed. You can't even call it marxism. I don't think class is even on the radar any more. It is all just "whiteness". They'll be screaming "white supremacy" into the grave, never having the slightest clue why they can't take advantage of shifting demographics.

Lmao why would you ever call it Marxism you weird little bogperson?

Because it shares many of the same starting points, has a similar mindset and uses many of the same tactics, and many of the most brainwashed zombies hilariously (mis-)identify themselves as marxists, you clueless bourgie dork.

Remind me, Mac--where in Capital does Marx say that the most important thing is to call your enemies racists?

Nowhere. why?

[Mickey]

It's hopeless. Utterly hopeless. They can't view things any other way. It's the single pinhole-sized lens through which everything in existence is viewed. You can't even call it marxism. I don't think class is even on the radar any more. It is all just "whiteness". They'll be screaming "white supremacy" into the grave, never having the slightest clue why they can't take advantage of shifting demographics.

Lmao why would you ever call it Marxism you weird little bogperson?

Because it shares many of the same starting points, has a similar mindset and uses many of the same tactics, and many of the most brainwashed zombies hilariously (mis-)identify themselves as marxists, you clueless bourgie dork.

Remind me, Mac--where in Capital does Marx say that the most important thing is to call your enemies racists?

Nowhere. why?

Exactly.

[BurtReynolds]

Oh that's one of those weird assumptions your making again. Like when you thought I believed that Wolf Blitzer invented riots.

[Bi_3]

Biden declaring he won AZ seems a touch early... it's close there still.

Not really

NY Times on Arizona:
We received more votes from Pinal County. According to turnout estimates, around 440,000 votes remain in counties won by Trump in 2016. Clinton 2016 counties have around 80,000 votes left to report.

The Arizona Republic surveyed county recorders and estimates that 600,000 ballots remain to be counted in Arizona. A full 450,000 of those ballots are in Maricopa County (Phoenix) and break down as follows: 248,000 early ballots (which in Arizona includes both mail-in and in-person votes) that arrived on Monday or Tuesday, 160,000-180,000 mail-in ballots dropped off on Election Day and 29,000 provisional ballots. Maricopa expects to release two batches of results tonight: one at 9 p.m. Eastern and one sometime after 12:30 a.m. Eastern.

Not sure 2016 results mean much here--Biden is winning Maricopa County 52-46. Arizona is likely done.

Yes, maybe:

Arizona. We may need to do a longer post on Arizona later. What’s left to count is mostly mail votes that were returned late in the process — on Monday or Tuesday. There’s some ambiguity about how many ballots this actually is; Edison Research seems to think around 450,000. If so, Trump would need to win those votes by 21 points to overtake Biden’s current 93,000-vote lead. They’re disrupted fairly evenly throughout the state.

Wait — outstanding mail votes? Shouldn’t those be good for Biden, as in other states? Well, not necessarily, because Republicans have a fairly strong mail voting program in Arizona and — this is the key part — the mail ballots that were returned later in the process (the ones yet to be continued) were significantly redder than the ones that came in earlier on, as Democrats sent their votes in early. For instance, the party registration of the votes that came in Monday and Tuesday were: 23 percent Democratic, 44 percent Republican, and 33 percent independent or other parties. That is to say, a 21-point GOP edge, which would put Trump on track to tie things up.

But … here’s the bad news for Trump. Party registration may be a misleading indicator in Arizona. It has a lot of ancestral Republicans who have now turned into swing voters. Biden also had a big lead among independents in polls. And earlier batches of mail ballots were considerably stronger for Biden than party registration alone would suggest. So probably these ballots are going to come in more for Trump than for Biden, but not as strongly as he needs.

There’s also the fact that two other news organizations, the Associated Press and Fox News, have called the state for Biden. I’d assume they’ve put more work into looking into this than I have, so that shifts my priors a bit, but you never know and you will get incorrect calls occasionally. Overall, I’d say this is Likely Biden but I don’t think the state should have been called yet.

[Mickey]

Oh that's one of those weird assumptions your making again. Like when you thought I believed that Wolf Blitzer invented riots.

You're.

[JuanHamm]

Why won't they call michigan?

[Mickey]

Why won't they call michigan?

Some of the networks already have. My understanding is most of the outstanding ballots are from Wayne co. so I don't see a way for Trump to make up the difference.

[Mickey]

From 538:

ABC News is now projecting Michigan for Biden, with the former vice president leading by 67,140 votes. If that margin were to hold, it’s large enough that an automatic recount would not be triggered. But the Michigan recount rules are a little vague as to when a losing candidate can ask for one — saying that it can be done if the loser has “a reasonable chance of winning the election.”

[Mickey]

Kids I work with don't have school today but I'm still hanging with them and basically babysitting. Kind of glad I'm not off and just soaking in anxiety.

Worry not, four more years of greatness loom just over the horizon.

*BZZZT* Wrong!

[tree_]

Rudy is cracking me up right now. This is a fun way to lose.

[Bi_3]

People in Nevada right now:

[JuanHamm]

Why the fuck did they stop counting?

[BurtReynolds]

Why the fuck did they stop counting?

they were sleepy.