Redistricting

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Green Habit
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Redistricting

Post by Green Habit »

This is going to be real awesome to follow:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/re ... 2022-maps/
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McParadigm
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by McParadigm »

In purely functional immediate (redistricting) terms this is a very unexpected boon to Democrats, and in future political decision-making terms, this is it:
(patriotic choking noises)
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tragabigzanda
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

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FUCK ICE
Last edited by tragabigzanda on Thu January 15, 2026 3:01 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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elliseamos
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by elliseamos »

tragabigzanda wrote:I’m with you on the future plans for the GOP coalition build, but thing about the immediate impact on redistricting feels somewhat premature. As for apportionment, wouldnt the rural losses just mean that the rural areas are even further lumped together, with the potential benefit of picking up some suburban/geographically outlying urban areas to make the numbers work?
I feel like it doesn't matter what the numbers say, the GOP is drawing the lines in their favor regardless.
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Bi_3
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by Bi_3 »

elliseamos wrote:
tragabigzanda wrote:I’m with you on the future plans for the GOP coalition build, but thing about the immediate impact on redistricting feels somewhat premature. As for apportionment, wouldnt the rural losses just mean that the rural areas are even further lumped together, with the potential benefit of picking up some suburban/geographically outlying urban areas to make the numbers work?
I feel like it doesn't matter what the numbers say, the GOP is drawing the lines in their favor regardless.
Is this really a thing we need to be worried about?

https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/ ... pe-2021-22
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by tragabigzanda »

FUCK ICE
Last edited by tragabigzanda on Thu January 15, 2026 3:01 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by tragabigzanda »

FUCK ICE
Last edited by tragabigzanda on Thu January 15, 2026 3:02 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

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FUCK ICE
Last edited by tragabigzanda on Thu January 15, 2026 3:02 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Bi_3
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by Bi_3 »

tragabigzanda wrote:I just don’t see these results having a real impact on the immediate districting battles. It’s still largely going to be a fight for the suburban vote, Andy I don’t see any shift in tactics prior to 2022.
He would have loved that
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Green Habit
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Re: Congress

Post by Green Habit »

I get that Democrats can't unilaterally disarm, but ugh gerrymandering is ugly. Proportional representation FTW.
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McParadigm
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by McParadigm »

(patriotic choking noises)
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surfndestroy
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by surfndestroy »

McParadigm wrote:
I am confused. Is gerrymandering a good thing or bad thing?
Think I’m going to try being kind to everyone a chance.
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by 4/5 »

surfndestroy wrote: I am confused. Is gerrymandering a good thing or bad thing?
Depends what state we're talking about.
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McParadigm
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by McParadigm »

surfndestroy wrote:
McParadigm wrote:
I am confused. Is gerrymandering a good thing or bad thing?
A bad thing. And also a “neither side will trust the other enough to deescalate” kind of thing
(patriotic choking noises)
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by elliseamos »

McParadigm wrote:
surfndestroy wrote:
McParadigm wrote:
I am confused. Is gerrymandering a good thing or bad thing?
A bad thing. And also a “neither side will trust the other enough to deescalate” kind of thing
It's a bad thing. But if this is how the game must be played, then played it shall be.
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Green Habit
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by Green Habit »

elliseamos wrote:It's a bad thing. But if this is how the game must be played, then played it shall be.
I'm going to be very curious to see if Dem-dominated states that have independent redistricting commissions push to get rid of them for this reason. California is the most prominent in that regard.
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by elliseamos »

Green Habit wrote:
elliseamos wrote:It's a bad thing. But if this is how the game must be played, then played it shall be.
I'm going to be very curious to see if Dem-dominated states that have independent redistricting commissions push to get rid of them for this reason. California is the most prominent in that regard.
I'm sure independence has a price, GH. Soros is a wealthy man.
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Green Habit
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Re: Redistricting

Post by Green Habit »

I was thinking this would go better in the Congress thread, others were bumping the Census thread, so I thought I'd just move all these posts into a redistricting thread of its own.
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Re: Redistricting

Post by BurtReynolds »

Never unilaterally disarm.
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Re: The US Census / Citizenship Question

Post by simple schoolboy »

Green Habit wrote:
elliseamos wrote:It's a bad thing. But if this is how the game must be played, then played it shall be.
I'm going to be very curious to see if Dem-dominated states that have independent redistricting commissions push to get rid of them for this reason. California is the most prominent in that regard.
Ah yes, California's famously independent in name if not in deed redistricting comission.

Its a relatively new creature, well after single party rule was established. Its not what it pretends to be.
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