What you say is essentially true, but here's the thing...and it's really important and commonly misunderstood: you're describing the result of a price change NOT the result of inflation.tragabigzanda wrote:In theory, they'd go down because the supply chain is operating at capacity again*, thus the supply is stronger, thus prices could relax -- not to pre-pandemic prices, but to something "more affordable" while still maintaining the historical margins for the seller. Given the product and pricing mix of a grocery store, I have to assume there's room in their pricing strategy -- or more likely the pricing from their wholesalers -- to maintain a more affordable cost on staple items, and to generate stronger revenues on premium products.Bi_3 wrote:Why would they go down? Low inflation is still inflation.tragabigzanda wrote:
Assuming that high prices have been maintained in bad faith, I believe some measure of Federal regulation may be warranted; but again, I have no idea if it's actually legal.
*I have no idea if that's true, but that seems to be one of the implications of some of the "research" and reporting happening around all this.
Price increases that were caused by supply constraints would go down once those supply constraints cease to exist. What happened in reality is two things (well, lots more but these two are particularly prominent): huge supply chain issues put upward pressure on prices AND a massive increase in the money supply in the form of extremely loose monetary policy and massive deficit stimulus spending that raised the overall price level. You described how prices respond when it's just supply and demand. But when the overall price level has risen and there's "too much money chasing too few goods" those prices aren't going to adjust because there's still excess money out there.
One of the most pernicious things about inflation is that it distorts the reason for price increases. Are eggs more expensive because of supply/demand changes, or is it just the increase in money supply/overall inflation? And in fact, this very confusion (felt by everybody: sellers, buyers, policymakers) does give cover and potentially enable people to, at least temporarily, raise prices above what they might be otherwise if there were no inflation and we knew that all price changes were in relation to supply/demand fundamentals.
