Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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From back-hand slapping Eric
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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elderly people get bruises like that all the time. doesn't take much.
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Farmer John »

Bi_3 wrote:Do it
Tariffs on the oil and also a pipeline at the same time?
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Bi_3 »

Farmer John wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:Do it
Tariffs on the oil and also a pipeline at the same time?
Isnt that a net positive? Increases continental supply that will drive down prices while increasing the prices with tariffs that will capture the difference into tax revenue without too much consumer pain.
"The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Peeps »

Bi_3 wrote:
Farmer John wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:Do it
Tariffs on the oil and also a pipeline at the same time?
Isnt that a net positive? Increases continental supply that will drive down prices while increasing the prices with tariffs that will capture the difference into tax revenue without too much consumer pain.

will it drive down prices? i thought i read that the keystone just transported oil to be processes and sent overseas

Keystone pipeline, gas prices, and oil exports
Dirty energy lobbyists claimed developing tar sands would protect our national energy security and bring U.S. fuel prices down. But environmental reviews by both the Obama and Trump administrations concluded that the Keystone XL pipeline would not have lowered gasoline prices. NRDC and its partners also found the majority of Keystone XL oil would have been sent to markets overseas—aided by a 2015 reversal of a ban on crude oil exports.
Did the Mother Fucker pay extra to yell?
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Bi_3 »

Peeps wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
Farmer John wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:Do it
Tariffs on the oil and also a pipeline at the same time?
Isnt that a net positive? Increases continental supply that will drive down prices while increasing the prices with tariffs that will capture the difference into tax revenue without too much consumer pain.

will it drive down prices? i thought i read that the keystone just transported oil to be processes and sent overseas

Keystone pipeline, gas prices, and oil exports
Dirty energy lobbyists claimed developing tar sands would protect our national energy security and bring U.S. fuel prices down. But environmental reviews by both the Obama and Trump administrations concluded that the Keystone XL pipeline would not have lowered gasoline prices. NRDC and its partners also found the majority of Keystone XL oil would have been sent to markets overseas—aided by a 2015 reversal of a ban on crude oil exports.
This is a framing trick. Increasing supply to otherwise idle refining capacity will lower oil prices (supply and demand) but not necessarily in the immediate term in the US as existing fuel contracts are not dynamically updated. Even if the fuel is sent overseas instead of being used to refill the national reserves that Biden emptied to suppress prices (see, supply and demand!) the increase in supply can be used to offset fuel that otherwise would have to come from Russia, forcing their prices down in order to get buyers. I would also caution that referencing the opinions of an environmentalist org may not be the unbiased perspective needed here.
"The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by BurtReynolds »

spike wrote:
BurtReynolds wrote:
Dev wrote:
spike wrote:
Ello Sailor wrote:You're an imbecile. Respectfully.
I’d say a coward above all. It’s easy going through life only giving a shit about yourself.
You two literally hate Burt so much you can forgot your own differences with eachother? Sort of remarkable.
It's so weird lol. They haven't offered any opinions on the subjects at hand. It's just personal attacks! I'm worried about these guys. How are they gonna survive the new board rules?
what opinion? just let everyone be who they are.

let them be free, as you so often tout.
Woah! That's incredibly profound. I can no longer stick to my "other people shouldn't be allowed to be who they are" position that I definitely took. I admit I was wrong. You've won!

This is good! Feel free to share your opinions on the news and debate topics at hand more often!
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Bi_3 »

For all the whinging and crying, this is the kind of thing that will drive Elon and Trump apart:

Image
"The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Peeps »

Bi_3 wrote:
Peeps wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
Farmer John wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:Do it
Tariffs on the oil and also a pipeline at the same time?
Isnt that a net positive? Increases continental supply that will drive down prices while increasing the prices with tariffs that will capture the difference into tax revenue without too much consumer pain.

will it drive down prices? i thought i read that the keystone just transported oil to be processes and sent overseas

Keystone pipeline, gas prices, and oil exports
Dirty energy lobbyists claimed developing tar sands would protect our national energy security and bring U.S. fuel prices down. But environmental reviews by both the Obama and Trump administrations concluded that the Keystone XL pipeline would not have lowered gasoline prices. NRDC and its partners also found the majority of Keystone XL oil would have been sent to markets overseas—aided by a 2015 reversal of a ban on crude oil exports.
This is a framing trick. Increasing supply to otherwise idle refining capacity will lower oil prices (supply and demand) but not necessarily in the immediate term in the US as existing fuel contracts are not dynamically updated. Even if the fuel is sent overseas instead of being used to refill the national reserves that Biden emptied to suppress prices (see, supply and demand!) the increase in supply can be used to offset fuel that otherwise would have to come from Russia, forcing their prices down in order to get buyers. I would also caution that referencing the opinions of an environmentalist org may not be the unbiased perspective needed here.
does chatgpt use framing tricks?
The Keystone XL pipeline, which was proposed to expand the existing Keystone pipeline system that transports oil from Canada to various locations in the United States, including refineries and distribution hubs, was expected to have a limited impact on U.S. gas prices. While it might have slightly increased the supply of oil, the effect on gas prices was predicted to be minimal for several reasons:

Global Market Prices: Oil prices are determined on the global market, and the amount of oil the Keystone XL pipeline was expected to transport (830,000 barrels per day) is relatively small compared to global production. Therefore, any changes in U.S. supply would likely have a minor impact on global oil prices.

Refining Capacity: The impact on gas prices also depends on refining capacity. Even if more crude oil becomes available, the capacity of refineries to process crude into gasoline and other products can limit how much this affects gas prices.

Transportation Costs and Efficiencies: The pipeline could potentially lower transportation costs for getting Canadian crude to U.S. refineries compared to shipping it by rail or truck. This could make oil from Canada cheaper for U.S. refineries, but it's not guaranteed that these savings would be passed on to consumers in the form of lower gas prices.

Regional Differences: The impact might vary by region. Areas closer to where the oil is refined might see slightly more benefit, but again, this would be modest.

As of 2021, the Keystone XL pipeline project was canceled, so any speculative effects on gas prices became moot with the project's termination. The broader discussion now focuses more on transitioning to renewable energy sources and reducing dependency on fossil fuels, which could ultimately have more significant implications for energy prices and sustainability.
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Bi_3 »

Peeps wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
Peeps wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
Farmer John wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:Do it

<snip>
Tariffs on the oil and also a pipeline at the same time?
Isnt that a net positive? Increases continental supply that will drive down prices while increasing the prices with tariffs that will capture the difference into tax revenue without too much consumer pain.

will it drive down prices? i thought i read that the keystone just transported oil to be processes and sent overseas

Keystone pipeline, gas prices, and oil exports
Dirty energy lobbyists claimed developing tar sands would protect our national energy security and bring U.S. fuel prices down. But environmental reviews by both the Obama and Trump administrations concluded that the Keystone XL pipeline would not have lowered gasoline prices. NRDC and its partners also found the majority of Keystone XL oil would have been sent to markets overseas—aided by a 2015 reversal of a ban on crude oil exports.
This is a framing trick. Increasing supply to otherwise idle refining capacity will lower oil prices (supply and demand) but not necessarily in the immediate term in the US as existing fuel contracts are not dynamically updated. Even if the fuel is sent overseas instead of being used to refill the national reserves that Biden emptied to suppress prices (see, supply and demand!) the increase in supply can be used to offset fuel that otherwise would have to come from Russia, forcing their prices down in order to get buyers. I would also caution that referencing the opinions of an environmentalist org may not be the unbiased perspective needed here.
does chatgpt use framing tricks?
The Keystone XL pipeline, which was proposed to expand the existing Keystone pipeline system that transports oil from Canada to various locations in the United States, including refineries and distribution hubs, was expected to have a limited impact on U.S. gas prices. While it might have slightly increased the supply of oil, the effect on gas prices was predicted to be minimal for several reasons:

Global Market Prices: Oil prices are determined on the global market, and the amount of oil the Keystone XL pipeline was expected to transport (830,000 barrels per day) is relatively small compared to global production. Therefore, any changes in U.S. supply would likely have a minor impact on global oil prices.

Refining Capacity: The impact on gas prices also depends on refining capacity. Even if more crude oil becomes available, the capacity of refineries to process crude into gasoline and other products can limit how much this affects gas prices.

Transportation Costs and Efficiencies: The pipeline could potentially lower transportation costs for getting Canadian crude to U.S. refineries compared to shipping it by rail or truck. This could make oil from Canada cheaper for U.S. refineries, but it's not guaranteed that these savings would be passed on to consumers in the form of lower gas prices.

Regional Differences: The impact might vary by region. Areas closer to where the oil is refined might see slightly more benefit, but again, this would be modest.

As of 2021, the Keystone XL pipeline project was canceled, so any speculative effects on gas prices became moot with the project's termination. The broader discussion now focuses more on transitioning to renewable energy sources and reducing dependency on fossil fuels, which could ultimately have more significant implications for energy prices and sustainability.
1.) Yes, it is part of what is called "AI Safety"
2.) That's the basically the same as what I said, I'm guessing you mentally injected a 'big price difference' into my post when it's intentionally not there, but that ChatGPT analysis skips one of the most important factors which is reducing dependency on unstable and unfriendly foreign providers such as Russia and OPEC which would result in improved price stability, something that has traditionally allowed market dynamics to reduce costs over time.

It's all moot if Canada will no longer build it to spite Trump.
"The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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I’m waiting for the breakup of Trump and Musk. They might be ideological buddies but there’s no way two guys with personality disorders can stay friends for long.
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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Sloppy Dupree wrote:I’m waiting for the breakup of Trump and Musk. They might be ideological buddies but there’s no way two guys with personality disorders can stay friends for long.
I think people are misunderstanding the direction this is going in, because they misunderstand the relationship.

The logic you’re using would have ended this collaboration way before Elon Musk interrupted and answered questions for Donald in the oval office.
(patriotic choking noises)
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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i mentally interjected big price difference when you stated it would lower prices? i didnt think it would drop 2 dollars a gallon. at best what...maybe 5 cents if we are being generous?

the pipeline would hardly be a blip in the grand scheme of things

the US alone produces approx 13.4 million barrels a day
sure 830K barrels from the pipeline seems a lot compared to that

but the world produces approx 81,804,000 barrels a day

i dont think .01% of more oil produced (never mind it is dirty oil and not crude so I am not even sure in the long run how much of that is going to be usable without being refined significantly) is going to move the needle on gas prices in the least
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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Peeps wrote:i mentally interjected big price difference when you stated it would lower prices. i didnt think it would drop 2 dollars a gallon. at best what...maybe 5 cents if we are being generous?

the pipeline would hardly be a blip in the grand scheme of things

the US alone produces approx 13.4 million barrels a day
sure 830K barrels from the pipeline seems a lot compared to that

but the world produces approx 81,804,000 barrels a day

i dont think .01% of more oil produced (never mind it is dirty oil and not crude so I am not even sure in the long run how much of that is going to be usable without being refined significantly) is going to move the needle on gas prices in the least
You may have a math mistake there
"The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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Drill baby, drill!
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Peeps »

Bi_3 wrote:
Peeps wrote:i mentally interjected big price difference when you stated it would lower prices. i didnt think it would drop 2 dollars a gallon. at best what...maybe 5 cents if we are being generous?

the pipeline would hardly be a blip in the grand scheme of things

the US alone produces approx 13.4 million barrels a day
sure 830K barrels from the pipeline seems a lot compared to that

but the world produces approx 81,804,000 barrels a day

i dont think .01% of more oil produced (never mind it is dirty oil and not crude so I am not even sure in the long run how much of that is going to be usable without being refined significantly) is going to move the needle on gas prices in the least
You may have a math mistake there
my bad (always forget to move the decimal point), 1% which does not change anything price wise
Did the Mother Fucker pay extra to yell?
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Bi_3 »

Peeps wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
Peeps wrote:i mentally interjected big price difference when you stated it would lower prices. i didnt think it would drop 2 dollars a gallon. at best what...maybe 5 cents if we are being generous?

the pipeline would hardly be a blip in the grand scheme of things

the US alone produces approx 13.4 million barrels a day
sure 830K barrels from the pipeline seems a lot compared to that

but the world produces approx 81,804,000 barrels a day

i dont think .01% of more oil produced (never mind it is dirty oil and not crude so I am not even sure in the long run how much of that is going to be usable without being refined significantly) is going to move the needle on gas prices in the least
You may have a math mistake there
my bad (always forget to move the decimal point), 1% which does not change anything price wise
I'll have to concede this one because we are waaaay beyond my understanding level, but my suspicion is that a 1% global supply increase in refined petroleum is significant price-wise. I don't have evidence for that though so you could very well be correct.
"The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

Post by Peeps »

Bi_3 wrote:
Peeps wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
Peeps wrote:i mentally interjected big price difference when you stated it would lower prices. i didnt think it would drop 2 dollars a gallon. at best what...maybe 5 cents if we are being generous?

the pipeline would hardly be a blip in the grand scheme of things

the US alone produces approx 13.4 million barrels a day
sure 830K barrels from the pipeline seems a lot compared to that

but the world produces approx 81,804,000 barrels a day

i dont think .01% of more oil produced (never mind it is dirty oil and not crude so I am not even sure in the long run how much of that is going to be usable without being refined significantly) is going to move the needle on gas prices in the least
You may have a math mistake there
from what i have skimmed the oil the pipeline would transport is "sludge"oil and it has to be refined a lot more to be able to use, hence it costs more than regular crude oil

my bad (always forget to move the decimal point), 1% which does not change anything price wise
I'll have to concede this one because we are waaaay beyond my understanding level, but my suspicion is that a 1% global supply increase in refined petroleum is significant price-wise. I don't have evidence for that though so you could very well be correct.
Did the Mother Fucker pay extra to yell?
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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FUCK ICE
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Re: The 47th POTUS - Donald J. Trump

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Thanks Trump and Putin!
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