philpritchard wrote:Chris_H_2 wrote:philpritchard wrote:Chris_H_2 wrote:philpritchard wrote:numbers wrote:philpritchard wrote:numbers wrote:Those two are not comparable. Williams managed one team for two years and never won a playoff series. Baker has taken three different teams to the playoffs, and went to the LCS with two of them and the WS with one.
I think if you look at any manager, you'll find their success or failure is directly related to the quality of players on the team. Any manager's influence is likely very small.
Take a guy like... um... Dusty Baker.
The 1996 San Francisco Giants won 68 games. The 1997 San Francisco Giants won 90 games.
Do you think one of those seasons is more indicative of his abilities of a manager than the other, or do you think they added JT Snow and Jeff Kent and Bill Mueller and Shawn Estes and Kirk Rueter and Rich Rodriguez?
To be fair, I think the negative impact of a manager is vastly overstated as well in all but the most extreme examples.
Do you think the 2015 Jays are a playoff team with Farrell as manager instead of Gibbons?
Absolutely.
are the 2015 cubs with Renteria instead of Maddon?
I can't imagine any manager turning the 2015 Cubs team into a non-playoff team.
matt Williams?
Probably. The Cubs finished 13 games ahead of the Giants. Do you think, all else being equal, Joe Maddon adds 13 wins to a team over Williams?
i've always been of the mindset that managers can do little to make teams win games where it's actually reflected in the standings, but can do certain things that, over the course of a season, eventually catches up with them and leads to teams losing some games. managers' terrible decisions in handling their bullpens, allowing starters to face opponents 3 or 4 times through the batting order, stubbornly slotting specific pitchers into specific innings, or batting players out of order all can contribute. while, to be sure, matt Williams was really, really good at making all of these horrible, horrible decisions, he probably wasn't good enough to prevent the cubs, strictly from a statistical standpoint, from making the playoffs.
where maddon has always shined (and this season was no exception) is his understanding of players, what they need to succeed, and making sure they're put in the best possible situations to succeed.