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Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 3:07 am
by 96583UP
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 3:08 am
by Mickey
Realized I never made a prediction so what the hell--November 6th (after the PA results are finalized).
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 3:12 am
by 96583UP
tragabigzanda wrote:
*possiblye
seriously though
if Biden wins FL, WI, MI - then PA doesn't matter
according the the 96583UP model
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 3:14 am
by 96583UP
here's a live shot of my coding team, constantly refining the model using big data and blockchain
- Spoiler: show

Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 3:49 pm
by Green Habit
That mail in vs in person early voting chart reminds me on how just massively below replacement level New York's laws are when it comes to ease of voting.
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 6:09 pm
by simple schoolboy
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 6:15 pm
by Rob
I can't believe no one chose November 6. I was debating between the 6th & 9th, went with 11/9. But I feel like there's a decent chance we know in the November 4-6 range, if Biden does very well. And there is evidence of that possibility.
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 6:17 pm
by Mickey
Ahem:
Mickey wrote:Realized I never made a prediction so what the hell--November 6th (after the PA results are finalized).
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 6:18 pm
by Rob
Mickey wrote:Ahem:
Mickey wrote:Realized I never made a prediction so what the hell--November 6th (after the PA results are finalized).
Heh, I stand corrected. Thread author didn't do his job and update the post!
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Fri October 30, 2020 6:19 pm
by Mickey
Like many rural counties on Tuesday, I reported late.
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sat October 31, 2020 8:27 pm
by Simple Torture
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sat October 31, 2020 9:38 pm
by elliseamos
Inauguration Day will be splendid.
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sat October 31, 2020 9:43 pm
by Mickey
The year is definitely going to get worse from here.
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sat October 31, 2020 9:45 pm
by LetMeSleep
the 2.5 month transition period seems a great fucking idea.

Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sat October 31, 2020 10:47 pm
by BurtReynolds
I was promised a coup/seizing of power. You fuckers better not disappoint me. again.
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sat October 31, 2020 11:15 pm
by VinylGuy
next week will be super interesting. and long.
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sun November 01, 2020 12:35 am
by elliseamos
BurtReynolds wrote:I was promised a coup/seizing of power. You fuckers better not disappoint me. again.
I remember people trying to convince Mattis & Kelly were going to step in.
I laughed then, I am extremely weakened by it now.
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sun November 01, 2020 2:40 am
by McParadigm
Trump campaign sought sensitive ballot security information from Pa. county, alarming commissioner
The Trump campaign sought highly sensitive information about voting security measures in at least one Pennsylvania county this week, alarming the head commissioner, who said he wasn’t comfortable responding to the request.
In an email sent Tuesday and later reviewed by The Washington Post, the Trump campaign asked officials in Cumberland County for the names of people who transport ballots and voting machines once polls close, the names of people who have access to the ballots afterward, and the precise locations where the ballots are stored, including room numbers.
The bullet-point questionnaire, sent from a campaign volunteer’s Gmail account, also sought answers on more generic issues such as where ballots are counted and whether information is wiped from voting machines. The email was first reported by the Sentinel newspaper.
County Commissioner Gary Eichelberger, a Republican, called the request intrusive and said that responding might disrupt election administration in the Republican-leaning county of 253,000.
“Our responsibility is to protect the integrity and security of the election,” he told The Post on Saturday. “I don’t know if the Trump campaign understands that, but they’re asking to do our job as the board of elections. And that’s our job, not their job.” He said he’d never seen a request like it in 16 years as an election official.
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sun November 01, 2020 5:20 pm
by wease
Got a link to that article; McP?
Re: Democracy Deferred: End of 2020 Election Prediction Thre
Posted: Sun November 01, 2020 7:10 pm
by McParadigm