Red Mosquito

Spoiler: show

President Trump’s 2020 election strategy relies largely on the white, working-class base that he excited in 2016. But he faces a demographic challenge: The electorate has changed since he was last on the ballot in ways likely to benefit Democrats.

Working-class, white voters are projected to decline by 2.3 percentage points nationally as a share of eligible voters, compared with the last election, because they are older and therefore dying at a faster rate than are Democratic groups. As those voters pass on, they are most likely to be replaced by those from minority groups or young, white voters with college degrees—groups that lean Democratic.

That means Mr. Trump will have to coax more votes from a shrinking base—or else find more votes in other parts of the electorate.

McParadigm wrote:1974-1978: 45 retirements
1980-1984: 32
1986-1990: 31
1992-1996: 50*
1998-2002: 45
2004-2008: 49
2010-2014: 43
2016-2020: 71

bune wrote:

96583UP wrote:Congrats guys!!! We did it!!!

President Trump’s 2020 election strategy relies largely on the white, working-class base that he excited in 2016. But he faces a demographic challenge: The electorate has changed since he was last on the ballot in ways likely to benefit Democrats.

Working-class, white voters are projected to decline by 2.3 percentage points nationally as a share of eligible voters, compared with the last election, because they are older and therefore dying at a faster rate than are Democratic groups. As those voters pass on, they are most likely to be replaced by those from minority groups or young, white voters with college degrees—groups that lean Democratic.

That means Mr. Trump will have to coax more votes from a shrinking base—or else find more votes in other parts of the electorate.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/demographi ... 02?mod=mhp

bune wrote:that is decidedly less nihilistic than usual Burt. are you ok, do we need to send someone over.

McParadigm wrote:

Bi_3 wrote:

SunKing wrote:

Bi_3 wrote:

McParadigm wrote:One minute he’s saying Bloomy or Bust, the next he’s posting polling data that supports a Biden/Warren ticket.

The polling data us from prior to Bman’s announcement and is used to show the importance of middle of the road candidates in defeating Trump.

Does it show that? Or does it show that, with the election over a year away, the highest polling candidate is the previous Dem VP, as might be expected based on the simple fact of name recognition?

If you were to scroll down about a third of the way through the article you would find this graphic:





I'm not sure how that follows your post unless you stopped read after the initial graphic. The polling data is a bit old, it's possible those states have swung left in the last 90 days.

YouGov poll, December 28-31st

Biden 29
Sanders 19
Warren 18
Buttigieg 8
Klobuchar 4
Bloomberg 3
Yang 3
Booker 2
Steyer 2
Castro 1

Bi_3 wrote: Bloomy rising:

https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/47668 ... ional-poll

Simple Torture wrote:

Simple Torture wrote:I'm getting a rush of nostalgia for when Lincoln Chafee was in the first Democratic debate in 2015 and was a total laughing stock. Rhode Island forever.

Guys, it's happening:

Simple Torture wrote:Lincoln Chafee served as a US Senator as a Republican, served as a Governor as an Independent, ran for President as a Democrat, and now is running for President as a Libertarian. My wife referred to this today as "hitting for the cycle."

Check out how inbred this motherfucker looks:

4/5 wrote:

Simple Torture wrote:Lincoln Chafee served as a US Senator as a Republican, served as a Governor as an Independent, ran for President as a Democrat, and now is running for President as a Libertarian. My wife referred to this today as "hitting for the cycle."

Check out how inbred this motherfucker looks:

How was he as Governor/Senator?

Simple Torture wrote:

4/5 wrote:

Simple Torture wrote:Lincoln Chafee served as a US Senator as a Republican, served as a Governor as an Independent, ran for President as a Democrat, and now is running for President as a Libertarian. My wife referred to this today as "hitting for the cycle."

Check out how inbred this motherfucker looks:

How was he as Governor/Senator?

He was appointed to the Senate by the governor to replace his father after he died (had served for almost 25 years). You may recall the 2016 Democratic primary debate where he made clear he didn't read the bill that repealed the Glass-Steagall Act before voting on it when he arrived:





How did he become governor? It's fucking Rhode Island.