Red Mosquito

simple schoolboy wrote:

bada wrote:If I was China now would be the time.

Our best hope is they decide their domestic chip manufacturing is good enough and domestic politics in Taiwan are in their favor long term.

bada wrote:I do wonder if China attacking Taiwan and the Taiwanese sabotaging and destroying their own chip manufacturing so the Chinese can't take it might not be the best thing for humanity. It would probably set A.I. back a decade at least.

simple schoolboy wrote:

dimejinky99 wrote:

simple schoolboy wrote:Iran demonstrated in their response to the Soleimani assassination that their ballistic missiles can hit what they aim for (in that case some hangars/ helicopters). Israel has a fairly robust wartime censorship apparatus, so if Iran has been successfully cratering runways and hitting other military targets we don't necessarily hear about it. What we do see is the apartment complexes and hospitals that get hit, possibly due to incomplete interceptions/ electronic warfare countermeasures.

What Iran is hitting could also be due to just aiming at general areas and rushed targeting, but its hard to evaluate their target selection in this information environment.

Iran hit and destroyed the stock exchange building in tel Aviv today. They know exactly what they’re aiming for and are able to hit it. Despite the manipulations and omissions of media.

oasisfan35 wrote:

bada wrote:I do wonder if China attacking Taiwan and the Taiwanese sabotaging and destroying their own chip manufacturing so the Chinese can't take it might not be the best thing for humanity. It would probably set A.I. back a decade at least.

Bi_3 wrote:The US attacking Iran would be a huge tactical mistake. Once the bunker-buster tech is demonstrated in the field one of two things will happen: either it will fail to destroy the underground development base and teach every other nation how to protect their nuke programs or it succeeds but enough data is captured by China and Russia that they will develop effective countermeasures and potentially publish them. It's lose/lose.

spike wrote:

Bi_3 wrote:The US attacking Iran would be a huge tactical mistake. Once the bunker-buster tech is demonstrated in the field one of two things will happen: either it will fail to destroy the underground development base and teach every other nation how to protect their nuke programs or it succeeds but enough data is captured by China and Russia that they will develop effective countermeasures and potentially publish them. It's lose/lose.

Trump gave his standard two week decision window, which is code for never, so you don’t have to worry.

Bi_3 wrote:

spike wrote:

Bi_3 wrote:The US attacking Iran would be a huge tactical mistake. Once the bunker-buster tech is demonstrated in the field one of two things will happen: either it will fail to destroy the underground development base and teach every other nation how to protect their nuke programs or it succeeds but enough data is captured by China and Russia that they will develop effective countermeasures and potentially publish them. It's lose/lose.

Trump gave his standard two week decision window, which is code for never, so you don’t have to worry.

Two weeks from now is the 4th of July

wease wrote:

Bi_3 wrote:

spike wrote:

Bi_3 wrote:The US attacking Iran would be a huge tactical mistake. Once the bunker-buster tech is demonstrated in the field one of two things will happen: either it will fail to destroy the underground development base and teach every other nation how to protect their nuke programs or it succeeds but enough data is captured by China and Russia that they will develop effective countermeasures and potentially publish them. It's lose/lose.

Trump gave his standard two week decision window, which is code for never, so you don’t have to worry.

Two weeks from now is the 4th of July

The best day to start a war!

dimejinky99 wrote:I dunno. 4th of July is a pretty good day to sell a ‘make America dominate again with another suicide mission in the Middle East!’ To his base.

spike wrote:

dimejinky99 wrote:I dunno. 4th of July is a pretty good day to sell a ‘make America dominate again with another suicide mission in the Middle East!’ To his base.

Nah, it’s a holiday of total escapism from the real world. No one wants to hear from Trump.

dimejinky99 wrote:Also you guys really don’t make enough of a big deal about the message of Independence Day and battering the Brits. That was the entire point of it! Sent them home crushed and they never tried it on with you again.
Why isn’t the ‘we kicked the Brits out!’ The main message of Independence Day?
We did it too (mostly) and we’re not having an Independence Day until we take the 6 counties back. The. It’ll probably be Unity day every year rather than Independence Day. But same thing.
Tiochfaidh ár lá! Get your Brits out!

Etc

spike wrote:And you’d be speaking German.