Red Mosquito

tragabigzanda wrote:What am I missing? I’ve not played close attention but aren’t all the states that have been called known quantities?

Trump’s running ahead if his 2020 in a number of counties in Georgia, so it’s going to come down to the same margins, but it looks like it’ll probably flip. PA and MI look like they’ll be determined by Philly and Detroit turnout (and if Harris wins those, she’ll also need Wisconsin). So it’s extremely close, more or less.

Yeah, the Georgia numbers are a problem.

Trump won Ohio in 16 and 20 as well.

zeb wrote:Yeah, the Georgia numbers are a problem.

They make Harris’s path narrower, but the differences between Georgia and the Midwest states makes me hope that it won’t be a sign of how those states will go. Turnout, turnout, turnout.

Right now, it's all just extrapolating based on results in red/blue states being different than expected based on polling, and for the swing states: how much of the vote has come in and from where. The NYT needle is freaking everybody out, but there are still days to go before we know anything solid, methinks

Very true.

Also seeing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania now.

Brawndo stock skyrocketing

Simple Torture wrote:

zeb wrote:Yeah, the Georgia numbers are a problem.

They make Harris’s path narrower, but the differences between Georgia and the Midwest states makes me hope that it won’t be a sign of how those states will go. Turnout, turnout, turnout.

Trump had the same lead in Georgia at this hour in 2020.

zeb wrote:Very true.

Also seeing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania now.

This is worrisome.

wease wrote:

zeb wrote:Very true.

Also seeing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania now.

This is worrisome.

It could easily boomerang back as cities are counted.

spike wrote:

Simple Torture wrote:

zeb wrote:Yeah, the Georgia numbers are a problem.

They make Harris’s path narrower, but the differences between Georgia and the Midwest states makes me hope that it won’t be a sign of how those states will go. Turnout, turnout, turnout.

Trump had the same lead in Georgia at this hour in 2020.

I saw that on CNN too. I could easily see Trump winning by a similar margin to Biden in 2020 and I don’t think it should be considered an upset.

Monkey_Driven wrote:

wease wrote:

zeb wrote:Very true.

Also seeing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania now.

This is worrisome.

It could easily boomerang back as cities are counted.

I know, I know…

Biden has probably been in bed for over an hour.

Simple Torture wrote:

spike wrote:

Simple Torture wrote:

zeb wrote:Yeah, the Georgia numbers are a problem.

They make Harris’s path narrower, but the differences between Georgia and the Midwest states makes me hope that it won’t be a sign of how those states will go. Turnout, turnout, turnout.

Trump had the same lead in Georgia at this hour in 2020.

I saw that on CNN too. I could easily see Trump winning by a similar margin to Biden in 2020 and I don’t think it should be considered an upset.

Just stresses the point that GA is far from over, regardless of who takes it.

Live numbers I'm seeing are Dems behind by about 150K votes with 88% counted.

Piecing together electoral scenarios on election night kind of feels like calculating marathon math during a race, but without the sense of control. I hope everyone gets some rest tonight.

zeb wrote:Yeah, the Georgia numbers are a problem.

For who?

Bammer wrote:

zeb wrote:Yeah, the Georgia numbers are a problem.

For who?

Obviously for the candidate I'm supporting.

brawndo's got what plants crave

electrolytes