Red Mosquito

dank monkey

Bi_3 wrote:The real question is how many days until Bernie goes full-Ukraine against Biden?

Bernie doesn't have the killer instinct to do that.

BurtReynolds wrote:

Bi_3 wrote:The real question is how many days until Bernie goes full-Ukraine against Biden?

Bernie doesn't have the killer instinct to do that.

Bernie needs a dye job and a good back wreching to have a chance . Stand up mofo

538 has Biden with an 88% chance of winning the nomination, 10% nobody gets a majority, and 2% chance for Bernie.

What a difference a week makes.

UGH

4/5 wrote:538 has Biden with an 88% chance of winning the nomination, 10% nobody gets a majority, and 2% chance for Bernie.

What a difference a week makes.

Silver's tweets yesterday made it seem like the model had originally placed Biden's odds even higher (due to Biden performing well in states that hadn't been polled very much) and they had to tweak things a bit so it didn't over-react there. I imagine polling after Super Tuesday will lower Biden's odds a bit, but with the states that are coming up, these odds seem right.

Always be sure to read the glosses that 538 posts, not just the raw numbers. They always outline the model's shortcomings and offer alternate scenarios that could happen (as they did before the 2016 election, which everyone forgets): https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/af ... omination/

I am very conflicted on who to vote for this Tuesday.

bune wrote:

That captures my heart.

Monkey_Driven wrote:I am very conflicted on who to vote for this Tuesday.

I will support whomever wins the nom but I'm not voting for a Presidential candidate in the primary. It's 6 of one.

Any chance of Biden going with Warren as VP?

a whole week of Bloomberg strips, funny timing for sure.

Anders wrote:Any chance of Biden going with Warren as VP?

I’d say there’s a pretty solid chance of this

LoathedVermin72 wrote:

Anders wrote:Any chance of Biden going with Warren as VP?

I’d say there’s a pretty solid chance of this

I'd say she's too strong a politician and varies in public policy too much from Biden to be a match that makes sense.

surfndestroy wrote:

LoathedVermin72 wrote:

Anders wrote:Any chance of Biden going with Warren as VP?

I’d say there’s a pretty solid chance of this

I'd say she's too strong a politician and varies in public policy too much from Biden to be a match that makes sense.

lol

surfndestroy wrote:

bune wrote:

That captures my heart.

6 of 1.....

How does the guy who supported Mike fucking Bloomberg get to mock others for the candidate they support?

BurtReynolds wrote:You're assuming other countries know what they are doing.

I’ve worked on German engineered vehicles. I know how “stupid” Europeans can be.

Still, we seem to be decades behind on social, economic and political etiquette.

Kaius wrote:

BurtReynolds wrote:You're assuming other countries know what they are doing.

I’ve worked on German engineered vehicles. I know how “stupid” Europeans can be.

Still, we seem to be decades behind on social, economic and political etiquette.

Foreign cars all day erry day bruh

verb_to_trust wrote:

Kaius wrote:

BurtReynolds wrote:You're assuming other countries know what they are doing.

I’ve worked on German engineered vehicles. I know how “stupid” Europeans can be.

Still, we seem to be decades behind on social, economic and political etiquette.

Foreign cars all day erry day bruh

Why do VW’s smell like crayons?!!?