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Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 8:51 pm
by Norah
Effectively yes, and then really ended a week later when Biden won Michigan by 300k votes.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 8:55 pm
by Mickey
You are more than welcome to re-read the bottom half of my post if you're confused!
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 8:59 pm
by bart
I could see several posters making that same kind of dumb argument re Bernie, but what took that post into elite territory was using that dumb hypothetical idea (Bernie could have won after early March) to illustrate an even dumber pro-Chavismo argument. A+, would read again
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 9:02 pm
by tragabigzanda
FUCK ICE
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 9:02 pm
by Mickey
The mistake you're making is assuming that Biden's position in the primaries on March 5th directly corresponds to his position in the primaries in April, May, and June--holding steady from before coronavirus to after. That's a pretty huge assumption. It very well might be true--in past years that's been true--but you're literally guessing, given how unprecedented this event is in modern electoral history. Continuing to hold these elections when it's unsafe to vote and penalizing states that delay their primary should cast significant doubt over their legitimacy as representative! Not that difficult of an argument to grasp.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 9:05 pm
by Mickey
bart wrote:I could see several posters making that same kind of dumb argument re Bernie, but what took that post into elite territory was using that dumb hypothetical idea (Bernie could have won after early March) to illustrate an even dumber pro-Chavismo argument. A+, would read again
Feel free to point it out! All I've argued is that insisting on the legitimacy of these elections given significant voter hardship should be applied equally. The apt parallel here would be Bolivia but I'm sure it's difficult for you to hold multiple proper nouns in your head at one time.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 9:26 pm
by Rob
I feel like the lessons learned are that Bernie has a base of support, but it's smaller than his 2016 numbers suggest, and Hillary Clinton was also way less popular than many people in the Dem party imagined.
I don't understand what would change in the next few months. If Bernie couldn't significantly raise turnout in the younger, more Latino states like CA & TX, there is no reason to believe that changes due to the virus (or anything else). It's also clear that many suburbanites who like moderate Republicans and/or moderate Dems (as maybe their second choice) would rather vote for Biden than Trump or Bernie. 2020, until the virus, actually DID see high turnout - but it was for Biden. Whether or not it's actually FOR Biden or just anti-Trump (or, "thank god it's not Hillary), I don't know. But it's kind of irrelevant anyway. I don't personally care if Bernie stays in or drops out. But the race is over.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 9:50 pm
by Mickey
Rob wrote:I feel like the lessons learned are that Bernie has a base of support, but it's smaller than his 2016 numbers suggest, and Hillary Clinton was also way less popular than many people in the Dem party imagined.
I don't understand what would change in the next few months. If Bernie couldn't significantly raise turnout in the younger, more Latino states like CA & TX, there is no reason to believe that changes due to the virus (or anything else). It's also clear that many suburbanites who like moderate Republicans and/or moderate Dems (as maybe their second choice) would rather vote for Biden than Trump or Bernie. 2020, until the virus, actually DID see high turnout - but it was for Biden. Whether or not it's actually FOR Biden or just anti-Trump (or, "thank god it's not Hillary), I don't know. But it's kind of irrelevant anyway. I don't personally care if Bernie stays in or drops out. But the race is over.
In reference to bolded segments
1. Leaving aside that Bernie did drive turnout in CA, "no reason" to believe that a global pandemic might either boost support for the public healthcare candidate or drive support towards establishment figures? Whatever voting trends you see are a direct result of the virus--highly unlikely people are voting now or in June for the same reasons they voted in February. We shouldn't downplay the extent to which this crisis will reconfigure the political arena--which is a primary reason for delaying the primaries without delegate penalties. This is being read as a pro-Bernie position, but it could equally be a pro-Biden one, as there's a chance that virus panic makes voters so hungry for Biden-style security that Bernie doesn't even make the 1200 delegate threshold for minority stake in the party platform.
2. Is that clear? Trump is polling competitively against Biden in a number of key states, and I've not seen any breakdown that says that suburban voters
in general would break for Biden, though yes, Dem voters in higher wealth brackets are going to Biden in droves.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 10:24 pm
by McParadigm
What happened in Wisconsin today baffles the mind.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Tue April 07, 2020 10:55 pm
by Self
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 1:15 am
by BurtReynolds
Bernie "My Good Friend Biden" Sanders just doesn't enough fight in him to be good representative for the left. He should have taken a cue from Trump and relentlessly attacked their corruption, but I don't think he has it in him. It's pretty disappointing.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 1:25 am
by BurtReynolds
btw, how much of a fraud is Alyssa Milano?
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 2:38 am
by Mickey
BurtReynolds wrote:btw, how much of a fraud is Elizabeth Warren?
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 3:30 pm
by Rob
Not a good sign
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 3:39 pm
by Superblood Wolfmoon
Bernie Sanders has ended his campaign.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 3:45 pm
by McParadigm
Block the purchase of ventilators by the state’s democratic governor. Then, send ventilators and credit the state’s at-risk Republican Senator. Meanwhile, the number of ventilators you’re sending is 1/5th the number in the original purchase attempt.
nbd just electioneering life and death.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 3:54 pm
by Anders
Superblood Wolfmoon wrote:Bernie Sanders has ended his campaign.
It was the right thing to do.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 3:54 pm
by Bi_3
Superblood Wolfmoon wrote:Bernie Sanders has ended his campaign.
Finally, a dignified act
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 3:58 pm
by Anders
Wonder who Biden will choose as his running mate now.
Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed April 08, 2020 4:06 pm
by Mickey
Rob wrote:Not a good sign
Lol good luck!