Red Mosquito

CopperTom wrote:

veddar10 wrote:I'm almost wishing we just had to scramble to get tix like before and the site crashed. I'm analyzing this odds thing way too much.

I love the lottery simply because I don't need to use vacation time to sit in front of my computer to TRY to get tickets.

A perl script solved that for me.

b_i_revisited wrote:

CopperTom wrote:

veddar10 wrote:I'm almost wishing we just had to scramble to get tix like before and the site crashed. I'm analyzing this odds thing way too much.

I love the lottery simply because I don't need to use vacation time to sit in front of my computer to TRY to get tickets.

A perl script solved that for me.

Sabotage!

bodysnatcher wrote:I'm banking on everyone blowing their wads on NYC, Chicago or Fenway... and they'll announce a Gorge show in about 2 months and the lottery won't be nearly as packed.

so if shows like Tampa and Jacksonville stay at 99% for reserved seats are people pretty much guaranteed to get tix that method regardless of where you list it in the preferences, assuming one didn't win GA already?

veddar10 wrote:so if shows like Tampa and Jacksonville stay at 99% for reserved seats are people pretty much guaranteed to get tix that method regardless of where you list it in the preferences, assuming one didn't win GA already?

You would have to assume so. 99% should indicate that there is less interest than there are tickets, and everyone should get them, regardless of priority.

veddar10 wrote:so if shows like Tampa and Jacksonville stay at 99% for reserved seats are people pretty much guaranteed to get tix that method regardless of where you list it in the preferences, assuming one didn't win GA already?

Yes, as long as there are not wild swings at the last second. I recall 10-15% changes in the last hour before the cutoff for the 2014 Midwest tour.

Assuming you want GA and the percentages stay about what they are now, I would wait until an hour or two before closing and go:

1.) Tampa GA
2.) Jacksonville GA
3.) Tampa Res
4.) Jacksonville Res

If Tampa goes down below 30%, I would give up on GA for that one and just move the others up one slot.

b_i_revisited wrote:

veddar10 wrote:so if shows like Tampa and Jacksonville stay at 99% for reserved seats are people pretty much guaranteed to get tix that method regardless of where you list it in the preferences, assuming one didn't win GA already?

Yes, as long as there are not wild swings at the last second. I recall 10-15% changes in the last hour before the cutoff for the 2014 Midwest tour.

Assuming you want GA and the percentages stay about what they are now, I would wait until an hour or two before closing and go:

1.) Tampa GA
2.) Jacksonville GA
3.) Tampa Res
4.) Jacksonville Res

If Tampa goes down below 30%, I would give up on GA for that one and just move the others up one slot.

Thats what I was thinking. I'm now wanting to hit all the Florida shows so I'm thinking about just putting reserved on all to be safe and just order it as

Ft. Lauderdale
Miami
Tampa
Jacksonville.

Figure It is better to just try and have safest odds of getting tickets to them all than worry about dealing with Ticketmaster and have completely shit seats

b_i_revisited wrote:

Birds in Hell wrote: Yes, if you would prefer to see a number of shows, I'd preference like this:

1. Show A - GA/Res.
2. Show B - GA/Res.
3. Show C - GA/Res.
4. Show D - GA/Res.
5. Show A - (whichever you didn't pick above)
6. Show B - (whichever you didn't pick above)
7. Show C- (whichever you didn't pick above)
8. Show D - (whichever you didn't pick above)

This is exactly what I have done in the past and I wait until a few hours before the closing to pick the location order.

Success?

I am more surprised by some of these odds than I was with the Midwest tour.

I wouldn't wait until the last minute to enter your choices given the reliability to 10c servers during high traffic.

CopperTom wrote:I am more surprised by some of these odds than I was with the Midwest tour.

I wouldn't wait until the last minute to enter your choices given the reliability to 10c servers during high traffic.

what exactly surprises you? Are they higher or lower odds?

veddar10 wrote:

CopperTom wrote:I am more surprised by some of these odds than I was with the Midwest tour.

I wouldn't wait until the last minute to enter your choices given the reliability to 10c servers during high traffic.

what exactly surprises you? Are they higher or lower odds?

Ottawa is very surprising. In 2011, I won the old lottery system and had a spare 10th row ticket. I was unable to sell this for $20. I don't think this show was sold out either. I was expecting Reserved to remain at 99%. Hampton on a Monday is dropping like a stone. I was expecting odds to remain higher for most of these. I still expect NYC to close at 1%.

CopperTom wrote:

veddar10 wrote:

CopperTom wrote:I am more surprised by some of these odds than I was with the Midwest tour.

I wouldn't wait until the last minute to enter your choices given the reliability to 10c servers during high traffic.

what exactly surprises you? Are they higher or lower odds?

Ottawa is very surprising. In 2011, I won the old lottery system and had a spare 10th row ticket. I was unable to sell this for $20. I don't think this show was sold out either. I was expecting Reserved to remain at 99%. Hampton on a Monday is dropping like a stone. I was expecting odds to remain higher for most of these. I still expect NYC to close at 1%.

I'm still curious about the accuracy of these odds? Jacksonville and Tampa for example are 99% reserved so I'm wondering if no one is putting either of these as their first choice and that is why it is so high but I'm also wondering if they stay that way the entire time if I could put those as my 7th or 8th option and still get tix because the odds are so high. Does the 99% probability only apply if it your first choice or is it 99% regardless of where we list it. Maybe people aren't favoring those because they are Monday and Wednesday shows? See how I am overthinking the shit out of this. Although they haven't been to Florida since '08 (not counting Pensacola) I never really had trouble getting tix to any of the shows down here with the old system. Shit that year I had the time to drive to Columbia,SC and Virginia Beach so I did knowing my ten club seats would be the best there. I'm really curious about the experience of others with this system last tour and their results? Did you guys have success getting multiple shows? I want to get my fill this tour because I know it will be awhile if they ever make it back down here plus they aren't getting any younger.

I also saw on over on the Pit some people claiming they got "upgraded to GA" upon picking up their tickets so I just keep coming up with new questions for this in my head.

Also, do a significant portion of the 10C make the trek down here? I promised Peeps we would meet up, smoke weed and talk about how shitty the Lakers are.

veddar10 wrote:

CopperTom wrote:

veddar10 wrote:

CopperTom wrote:I am more surprised by some of these odds than I was with the Midwest tour.

I wouldn't wait until the last minute to enter your choices given the reliability to 10c servers during high traffic.

what exactly surprises you? Are they higher or lower odds?

Ottawa is very surprising. In 2011, I won the old lottery system and had a spare 10th row ticket. I was unable to sell this for $20. I don't think this show was sold out either. I was expecting Reserved to remain at 99%. Hampton on a Monday is dropping like a stone. I was expecting odds to remain higher for most of these. I still expect NYC to close at 1%.

I'm still curious about the accuracy of these odds? Jacksonville and Tampa for example are 99% reserved so I'm wondering if no one is putting either of these as their first choice and that is why it is so high but I'm also wondering if they stay that way the entire time if I could put those as my 7th or 8th option and still get tix because the odds are so high. Does the 99% probability only apply if it your first choice or is it 99% regardless of where we list it. Maybe people aren't favoring those because they are Monday and Wednesday shows? See how I am overthinking the shit out of this. Although they haven't been to Florida since '08 (not counting Pensacola) I never really had trouble getting tix to any of the shows down here with the old system. Shit that year I had the time to drive to Columbia,SC and Virginia Beach so I did knowing my ten club seats would be the best there. I'm really curious about the experience of others with this system last tour and their results? Did you guys have success getting multiple shows? I want to get my fill this tour because I know it will be awhile if they ever make it back down here plus they aren't getting any younger.

I also saw on over on the Pit some people claiming they got "upgraded to GA" upon picking up their tickets so I just keep coming up with new questions for this in my head.

Also, do a significant portion of the 10C make the trek down here? I promised Peeps we would meet up, smoke weed and talk about how shitty the Lakers are.

Odds = Pairs available / entries regardless of priority. Midwest tour had a few shows with >95% odds. People won their 7th, 8th or 9th priority.

CopperTom wrote:

veddar10 wrote:

CopperTom wrote:

veddar10 wrote:

CopperTom wrote:I am more surprised by some of these odds than I was with the Midwest tour.

I wouldn't wait until the last minute to enter your choices given the reliability to 10c servers during high traffic.

what exactly surprises you? Are they higher or lower odds?

Ottawa is very surprising. In 2011, I won the old lottery system and had a spare 10th row ticket. I was unable to sell this for $20. I don't think this show was sold out either. I was expecting Reserved to remain at 99%. Hampton on a Monday is dropping like a stone. I was expecting odds to remain higher for most of these. I still expect NYC to close at 1%.

I'm still curious about the accuracy of these odds? Jacksonville and Tampa for example are 99% reserved so I'm wondering if no one is putting either of these as their first choice and that is why it is so high but I'm also wondering if they stay that way the entire time if I could put those as my 7th or 8th option and still get tix because the odds are so high. Does the 99% probability only apply if it your first choice or is it 99% regardless of where we list it. Maybe people aren't favoring those because they are Monday and Wednesday shows? See how I am overthinking the shit out of this. Although they haven't been to Florida since '08 (not counting Pensacola) I never really had trouble getting tix to any of the shows down here with the old system. Shit that year I had the time to drive to Columbia,SC and Virginia Beach so I did knowing my ten club seats would be the best there. I'm really curious about the experience of others with this system last tour and their results? Did you guys have success getting multiple shows? I want to get my fill this tour because I know it will be awhile if they ever make it back down here plus they aren't getting any younger.

I also saw on over on the Pit some people claiming they got "upgraded to GA" upon picking up their tickets so I just keep coming up with new questions for this in my head.

Also, do a significant portion of the 10C make the trek down here? I promised Peeps we would meet up, smoke weed and talk about how shitty the Lakers are.

Odds = Pairs available / entries regardless of priority. Midwest tour had a few shows with >95% odds. People won their 7th, 8th or 9th priority.

Nice. You guys up north don't wanna come down here anyway. Florida is horrible that time of year.

My picks are in. I'm going to try to not look at odds between now and Monday. I don't want to tinker.

CopperTom wrote:My picks are in. I'm going to try to not look at odds between now and Monday. I don't want to tinker.

I've changed mine like 5 times

CopperTom wrote:My picks are in. I'm going to try to not look at odds between now and Monday. I don't want to tinker.

what I need to do but the weather blows this weekend so I find myself on here more than I have been in like 2 years

Does anyone know if the GA tickets are available to public?

E.H. Ruddock wrote:Does anyone know if the GA tickets are available to public?

nope. they are not.

veddar10 wrote:

CopperTom wrote:

veddar10 wrote:

CopperTom wrote:I am more surprised by some of these odds than I was with the Midwest tour.

I wouldn't wait until the last minute to enter your choices given the reliability to 10c servers during high traffic.

what exactly surprises you? Are they higher or lower odds?

Ottawa is very surprising. In 2011, I won the old lottery system and had a spare 10th row ticket. I was unable to sell this for $20. I don't think this show was sold out either. I was expecting Reserved to remain at 99%. Hampton on a Monday is dropping like a stone. I was expecting odds to remain higher for most of these. I still expect NYC to close at 1%.

I'm still curious about the accuracy of these odds? Jacksonville and Tampa for example are 99% reserved so I'm wondering if no one is putting either of these as their first choice and that is why it is so high but I'm also wondering if they stay that way the entire time if I could put those as my 7th or 8th option and still get tix because the odds are so high. Does the 99% probability only apply if it your first choice or is it 99% regardless of where we list it. Maybe people aren't favoring those because they are Monday and Wednesday shows? See how I am overthinking the shit out of this. Although they haven't been to Florida since '08 (not counting Pensacola) I never really had trouble getting tix to any of the shows down here with the old system. Shit that year I had the time to drive to Columbia,SC and Virginia Beach so I did knowing my ten club seats would be the best there. I'm really curious about the experience of others with this system last tour and their results? Did you guys have success getting multiple shows? I want to get my fill this tour because I know it will be awhile if they ever make it back down here plus they aren't getting any younger.

I also saw on over on the Pit some people claiming they got "upgraded to GA" upon picking up their tickets so I just keep coming up with new questions for this in my head.

Also, do a significant portion of the 10C make the trek down here? I promised Peeps we would meet up, smoke weed and talk about how shitty the Lakers are.

No one got "upgraded" to GA. There were a few shows that didn't fill all of the GA slots so if you requested Res and GA to those shows (Phoenix, Calgary) you automatically got GA regardless of how you ranked them.