Re: Election 2020
Posted: Wed October 07, 2020 7:19 pm
Every day, one more model crosses the line onto Biden's side.
Trump has roughly a 30 percent chance in the final model in 2016 (for comparison purposes).dad wrote:That's great and all, but the numbers were in Hilary's favor around this time four years ago too.
Roger that. Here's hoping this sticks until the 3rd.Monkey_Driven wrote:Trump has roughly a 30 percent chance in the final model in 2016 (for comparison purposes).dad wrote:That's great and all, but the numbers were in Hilary's favor around this time four years ago too.
Don’t worry about it. Worry about a million other things regarding the election, but not that Donald Trump will have the votes.dad wrote:Roger that. Here's hoping this sticks until the 3rd.Monkey_Driven wrote:Trump has roughly a 30 percent chance in the final model in 2016 (for comparison purposes).dad wrote:That's great and all, but the numbers were in Hilary's favor around this time four years ago too.
He’s been off the local airwaves completely in Iowa and Ohio. The campaign also has given up at least $2 million worth of reservations in both Michigan and Wisconsin since early September. And in Minnesota, a state Trump almost won four years ago and has expressed confidence in flipping, his team already has chopped about $5 million from its projected fall TV budget.
Go on...McParadigm wrote:Don’t worry about it. Worry about a million other things regarding the election, but not that Donald Trump will have the votes.dad wrote:Roger that. Here's hoping this sticks until the 3rd.Monkey_Driven wrote:Trump has roughly a 30 percent chance in the final model in 2016 (for comparison purposes).dad wrote:That's great and all, but the numbers were in Hilary's favor around this time four years ago too.
Isn't that the actor that played the villain in Dr. Strange?Simple Torture wrote:"The streets are extended gutters and the gutters are full of blood and when the drains finally scab over, all the vermin will drown. The accumulated filth of all their sex and murder will foam up about their waists and all the whores and politicians will look up and shout, 'Save us!' And I'll look down and whisper, 'No.'" -Ken Bone, probably
Yes.B wrote:Isn't that the actor that played the villain in Dr. Strange?Simple Torture wrote:"The streets are extended gutters and the gutters are full of blood and when the drains finally scab over, all the vermin will drown. The accumulated filth of all their sex and murder will foam up about their waists and all the whores and politicians will look up and shout, 'Save us!' And I'll look down and whisper, 'No.'" -Ken Bone, probably
lolThe Argonaut wrote:I never realized it before, but Ken Bone is a weird guy
Trump was at 18.2% in the 538 model on October 7, 2016Monkey_Driven wrote:Trump has roughly a 30 percent chance in the final model in 2016 (for comparison purposes).dad wrote:That's great and all, but the numbers were in Hilary's favor around this time four years ago too.
Yup, which was right around the "grab 'em by the pussy" leak, right? The Comey Letter later than month titled the balance further.Simple Torture wrote:Trump was at 18.2% in the 538 model on October 7, 2016Monkey_Driven wrote:Trump has roughly a 30 percent chance in the final model in 2016 (for comparison purposes).dad wrote:That's great and all, but the numbers were in Hilary's favor around this time four years ago too.
The hero we deserve.Simple Torture wrote:"The streets are extended gutters and the gutters are full of blood and when the drains finally scab over, all the vermin will drown. The accumulated filth of all their sex and murder will foam up about their waists and all the whores and politicians will look up and shout, 'Save us!' And I'll look down and whisper, 'No.'" -Ken Bone, probably
It was actually on October 7, 2016---4 years ago today exactly. Happy anniversary!Monkey_Driven wrote:Yup, which was right around the "grab 'em by the pussy" leak, right? The Comey Letter later than month titled the balance further.Simple Torture wrote:Trump was at 18.2% in the 538 model on October 7, 2016Monkey_Driven wrote:Trump has roughly a 30 percent chance in the final model in 2016 (for comparison purposes).dad wrote:That's great and all, but the numbers were in Hilary's favor around this time four years ago too.
Congrats specifically to Jorge, who posted the first link to the story: http://forums.theskyiscrape.com/viewtop ... 67#p819567Simple Torture wrote:It was actually on October 7, 2016---4 years ago today exactly. Happy anniversary!Monkey_Driven wrote:Yup, which was right around the "grab 'em by the pussy" leak, right? The Comey Letter later than month titled the balance further.Simple Torture wrote:Trump was at 18.2% in the 538 model on October 7, 2016Monkey_Driven wrote:Trump has roughly a 30 percent chance in the final model in 2016 (for comparison purposes).dad wrote:That's great and all, but the numbers were in Hilary's favor around this time four years ago too.
Probably just worry about voter suppression a million times.dad wrote:Go on...McParadigm wrote:Don’t worry about it. Worry about a million other things regarding the election, but not that Donald Trump will have the votes.dad wrote:Roger that. Here's hoping this sticks until the 3rd.Monkey_Driven wrote:Trump has roughly a 30 percent chance in the final model in 2016 (for comparison purposes).dad wrote:That's great and all, but the numbers were in Hilary's favor around this time four years ago too.