2015 Academy Awards

[epilogue]

In any case, there are way more egregious Best Picture winners in recent history:

-12 Years a Slave
-The Artist
-Crash

Now we're back on track!

I adore The Artist. And I'm really into Crash also. Haven't seen 12YaS.

I figured you'd like TA and I understand why people do. But I can't stand it, personally.

I kind of doubt you'd have a strong positive reaction to 12 Years. You don't seem like the type that digs exercises in misery and cruelty.

As a rule, no. But if there's a larger point I can dig it. I'm trying to think of a good example of something that's damaging and miserable and difficult and still totally worth it.

My relationship with movie violence/cruelty/sadism is long and storied

Like Happiness. That thing is TOUGH to watch. But totally worth it.

[LoathedVermin72]

Because it seemed like something to do: My Top 10 Best Picture Winners

1. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
2. Unforgiven
3. The Godfather
4. The Deer Hunter
5. Dances with Wolves
6. Patton
7. The Silence of the Lambs
8. The Godfather Part II
9. Braveheart
10. Titanic

Also, I just remembered that Argo won Best Picture.

[epilogue]

Argo was a lot of fun. I wouldn't have voted for it for Best Picture. But I liked the movie.

[epilogue]

I do NOT like LoTR:RotK or Braveheart. Like at all.

[epilogue]

Godfather and Deer Hunter are phenomenal.

[epilogue]

So how many of you fine folks think Birdman's gonna be able to pull off the top prize tonight?

[Orpheus]

Was talking to one of the guys that was also in the show that I did with Ellar Coltrane's mom, and apparently she'll be sitting on the floor at the Oscars with him. I thought that was very cool.

[LoathedVermin72]

I do NOT like LoTR:RotK or Braveheart. Like at all.

Mel Gibson is a magnificent lunatic and I love him.

[LoathedVermin72]

So how many of you fine folks think Birdman's gonna be able to pull off the top prize tonight?

I'm betting on it. Literally.

[epilogue]

So how many of you fine folks think Birdman's gonna be able to pull off the top prize tonight?

I'm betting on it. Literally.

[epilogue]

Here are my "official" picks for tonight:

PICTURE - Birdman
DIRECTOR - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
LEAD ACTRESS - Julianne Moore
LEAD ACTOR - Eddie Redmayne
SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Patricia Arquette
SUPPORTING ACTOR - JK Simmons
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Grand Budapest Hotel
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Imitation Game
CINEMATOGRAPHY - Birdman
FILM EDITING - Boyhood
PRODUCTION DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
MAKE-UP & HAIR - The Grand Budapest Hotel
COSTUME DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
SOUND MIXING - Whiplash
SOUND EDITING - American Sniper
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE - Ida
VISUAL EFFECTS - Intersteller
ORIGINAL SONG - Glory (from Selma)
ORIGINAL SCORE - The Theory of Everything
ANIMATED FEATURE - How to Train Your Dragon 2
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Citizenfour
LIVE ACTION SHORT - The Phone Call
ANIMATED SHORT - Feast
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Crisis Hotline

Sometimes I'm really good at this and sometimes I'm just the worst. I haven't seen much of anything that's nominated and I have a tremendous Birdman bias.... So, we'll see. I tried to be fair and look at who won the other awards and whatnot. Some of this is just throwing a dart though.

[LoathedVermin72]

Here are my "official" picks for tonight:

PICTURE - Birdman
DIRECTOR - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
LEAD ACTRESS - Julianne Moore
LEAD ACTOR - Eddie Redmayne
SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Patricia Arquette
SUPPORTING ACTOR - JK Simmons
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Grand Budapest Hotel
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Imitation Game
CINEMATOGRAPHY - Birdman
FILM EDITING - Boyhood
PRODUCTION DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
MAKE-UP & HAIR - The Grand Budapest Hotel
COSTUME DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
SOUND MIXING - Whiplash
SOUND EDITING - American Sniper
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE - Ida
VISUAL EFFECTS - Intersteller
ORIGINAL SONG - Glory (from Selma)
ORIGINAL SCORE - The Theory of Everything
ANIMATED FEATURE - How to Train Your Dragon 2
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Citizenfour
LIVE ACTION SHORT - The Phone Call
ANIMATED SHORT - Feast
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Crisis Hotline

Sometimes I'm really good at this and sometimes I'm just the worst. I haven't seen much of anything that's nominated and I have a tremendous Birdman bias.... So, we'll see. I tried to be fair and look at who won the other awards and whatnot. Some of this is just throwing a dart though.

Ha! Those are all my picks exactly except for Sound Mixing, for which I chose American Sniper.

[Jorge]

BEST PICTURE WILL GO TO BIRDMAN (OR THE UNEXPECTED VIRTUE OF IGNORANCE) OR BOYHOOD, 60/40

[epilogue]

Here are my "official" picks for tonight:

PICTURE - Birdman
DIRECTOR - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
LEAD ACTRESS - Julianne Moore
LEAD ACTOR - Eddie Redmayne
SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Patricia Arquette
SUPPORTING ACTOR - JK Simmons
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Grand Budapest Hotel
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Imitation Game
CINEMATOGRAPHY - Birdman
FILM EDITING - Boyhood
PRODUCTION DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
MAKE-UP & HAIR - The Grand Budapest Hotel
COSTUME DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
SOUND MIXING - Whiplash
SOUND EDITING - American Sniper
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE - Ida
VISUAL EFFECTS - Intersteller
ORIGINAL SONG - Glory (from Selma)
ORIGINAL SCORE - The Theory of Everything
ANIMATED FEATURE - How to Train Your Dragon 2
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Citizenfour
LIVE ACTION SHORT - The Phone Call
ANIMATED SHORT - Feast
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Crisis Hotline

Sometimes I'm really good at this and sometimes I'm just the worst. I haven't seen much of anything that's nominated and I have a tremendous Birdman bias.... So, we'll see. I tried to be fair and look at who won the other awards and whatnot. Some of this is just throwing a dart though.

Ha! Those are all my picks exactly except for Sound Mixing, for which I chose American Sniper.

Really?! That's nuts!

I thought about AS for both sound categories. But I feel like "music movies" tend to sneak one of them a lot. Maybe that's dumb. I should look that up, actually. But I won't be surprised if AS wins both. And I might even change it by the time I fill out my ballot tonight.

[LoathedVermin72]

Here are my "official" picks for tonight:

PICTURE - Birdman
DIRECTOR - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
LEAD ACTRESS - Julianne Moore
LEAD ACTOR - Eddie Redmayne
SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Patricia Arquette
SUPPORTING ACTOR - JK Simmons
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Grand Budapest Hotel
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Imitation Game
CINEMATOGRAPHY - Birdman
FILM EDITING - Boyhood
PRODUCTION DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
MAKE-UP & HAIR - The Grand Budapest Hotel
COSTUME DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
SOUND MIXING - Whiplash
SOUND EDITING - American Sniper
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE - Ida
VISUAL EFFECTS - Intersteller
ORIGINAL SONG - Glory (from Selma)
ORIGINAL SCORE - The Theory of Everything
ANIMATED FEATURE - How to Train Your Dragon 2
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Citizenfour
LIVE ACTION SHORT - The Phone Call
ANIMATED SHORT - Feast
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Crisis Hotline

Sometimes I'm really good at this and sometimes I'm just the worst. I haven't seen much of anything that's nominated and I have a tremendous Birdman bias.... So, we'll see. I tried to be fair and look at who won the other awards and whatnot. Some of this is just throwing a dart though.

Ha! Those are all my picks exactly except for Sound Mixing, for which I chose American Sniper.

Really?! That's nuts!

I thought about AS for both sound categories. But I feel like "music movies" tend to sneak one of them a lot. Maybe that's dumb. I should look that up, actually. But I won't be surprised if AS wins both. And I might even change it by the time I fill out my ballot tonight.

I try to go almost entirely off of probability/math/other wins these days, as pretty much every time I try to inject my own thoughts into it (like your "music movies" thinking), it backfires on me.

[epilogue]

Here are my "official" picks for tonight:

PICTURE - Birdman
DIRECTOR - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
LEAD ACTRESS - Julianne Moore
LEAD ACTOR - Eddie Redmayne
SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Patricia Arquette
SUPPORTING ACTOR - JK Simmons
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Grand Budapest Hotel
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Imitation Game
CINEMATOGRAPHY - Birdman
FILM EDITING - Boyhood
PRODUCTION DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
MAKE-UP & HAIR - The Grand Budapest Hotel
COSTUME DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
SOUND MIXING - Whiplash
SOUND EDITING - American Sniper
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE - Ida
VISUAL EFFECTS - Intersteller
ORIGINAL SONG - Glory (from Selma)
ORIGINAL SCORE - The Theory of Everything
ANIMATED FEATURE - How to Train Your Dragon 2
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Citizenfour
LIVE ACTION SHORT - The Phone Call
ANIMATED SHORT - Feast
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Crisis Hotline

Sometimes I'm really good at this and sometimes I'm just the worst. I haven't seen much of anything that's nominated and I have a tremendous Birdman bias.... So, we'll see. I tried to be fair and look at who won the other awards and whatnot. Some of this is just throwing a dart though.

Ha! Those are all my picks exactly except for Sound Mixing, for which I chose American Sniper.

Really?! That's nuts!

I thought about AS for both sound categories. But I feel like "music movies" tend to sneak one of them a lot. Maybe that's dumb. I should look that up, actually. But I won't be surprised if AS wins both. And I might even change it by the time I fill out my ballot tonight.

I try to go almost entirely off of probability/math/other wins these days, as pretty much every time I try to inject my own thoughts into it (like your "music movies" thinking), it backfires on me.

9 times out of 10 I let other wins lead the way. How do you figure probability/math with something like this?

[LoathedVermin72]

Here are my "official" picks for tonight:

PICTURE - Birdman
DIRECTOR - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
LEAD ACTRESS - Julianne Moore
LEAD ACTOR - Eddie Redmayne
SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Patricia Arquette
SUPPORTING ACTOR - JK Simmons
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Grand Budapest Hotel
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Imitation Game
CINEMATOGRAPHY - Birdman
FILM EDITING - Boyhood
PRODUCTION DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
MAKE-UP & HAIR - The Grand Budapest Hotel
COSTUME DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
SOUND MIXING - Whiplash
SOUND EDITING - American Sniper
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE - Ida
VISUAL EFFECTS - Intersteller
ORIGINAL SONG - Glory (from Selma)
ORIGINAL SCORE - The Theory of Everything
ANIMATED FEATURE - How to Train Your Dragon 2
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Citizenfour
LIVE ACTION SHORT - The Phone Call
ANIMATED SHORT - Feast
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Crisis Hotline

Sometimes I'm really good at this and sometimes I'm just the worst. I haven't seen much of anything that's nominated and I have a tremendous Birdman bias.... So, we'll see. I tried to be fair and look at who won the other awards and whatnot. Some of this is just throwing a dart though.

Ha! Those are all my picks exactly except for Sound Mixing, for which I chose American Sniper.

Really?! That's nuts!

I thought about AS for both sound categories. But I feel like "music movies" tend to sneak one of them a lot. Maybe that's dumb. I should look that up, actually. But I won't be surprised if AS wins both. And I might even change it by the time I fill out my ballot tonight.

I try to go almost entirely off of probability/math/other wins these days, as pretty much every time I try to inject my own thoughts into it (like your "music movies" thinking), it backfires on me.

9 times out of 10 I let other wins lead the way. How do you figure probability/math with something like this?

I let other people do it for me. Like this: http://www.bostonglobe.com/arts/movies/ ... story.html

[epilogue]

Here are my "official" picks for tonight:

PICTURE - Birdman
DIRECTOR - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
LEAD ACTRESS - Julianne Moore
LEAD ACTOR - Eddie Redmayne
SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Patricia Arquette
SUPPORTING ACTOR - JK Simmons
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Grand Budapest Hotel
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Imitation Game
CINEMATOGRAPHY - Birdman
FILM EDITING - Boyhood
PRODUCTION DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
MAKE-UP & HAIR - The Grand Budapest Hotel
COSTUME DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
SOUND MIXING - Whiplash
SOUND EDITING - American Sniper
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE - Ida
VISUAL EFFECTS - Intersteller
ORIGINAL SONG - Glory (from Selma)
ORIGINAL SCORE - The Theory of Everything
ANIMATED FEATURE - How to Train Your Dragon 2
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Citizenfour
LIVE ACTION SHORT - The Phone Call
ANIMATED SHORT - Feast
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Crisis Hotline

Sometimes I'm really good at this and sometimes I'm just the worst. I haven't seen much of anything that's nominated and I have a tremendous Birdman bias.... So, we'll see. I tried to be fair and look at who won the other awards and whatnot. Some of this is just throwing a dart though.

Ha! Those are all my picks exactly except for Sound Mixing, for which I chose American Sniper.

Really?! That's nuts!

I thought about AS for both sound categories. But I feel like "music movies" tend to sneak one of them a lot. Maybe that's dumb. I should look that up, actually. But I won't be surprised if AS wins both. And I might even change it by the time I fill out my ballot tonight.

I try to go almost entirely off of probability/math/other wins these days, as pretty much every time I try to inject my own thoughts into it (like your "music movies" thinking), it backfires on me.

9 times out of 10 I let other wins lead the way. How do you figure probability/math with something like this?

I let other people do it for me. Like this: http://www.bostonglobe.com/arts/movies/ ... story.html

I notice your link has me winning that category.

[LoathedVermin72]

Here are my "official" picks for tonight:

PICTURE - Birdman
DIRECTOR - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
LEAD ACTRESS - Julianne Moore
LEAD ACTOR - Eddie Redmayne
SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Patricia Arquette
SUPPORTING ACTOR - JK Simmons
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Grand Budapest Hotel
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Imitation Game
CINEMATOGRAPHY - Birdman
FILM EDITING - Boyhood
PRODUCTION DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
MAKE-UP & HAIR - The Grand Budapest Hotel
COSTUME DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
SOUND MIXING - Whiplash
SOUND EDITING - American Sniper
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE - Ida
VISUAL EFFECTS - Intersteller
ORIGINAL SONG - Glory (from Selma)
ORIGINAL SCORE - The Theory of Everything
ANIMATED FEATURE - How to Train Your Dragon 2
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Citizenfour
LIVE ACTION SHORT - The Phone Call
ANIMATED SHORT - Feast
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Crisis Hotline

Sometimes I'm really good at this and sometimes I'm just the worst. I haven't seen much of anything that's nominated and I have a tremendous Birdman bias.... So, we'll see. I tried to be fair and look at who won the other awards and whatnot. Some of this is just throwing a dart though.

Ha! Those are all my picks exactly except for Sound Mixing, for which I chose American Sniper.

Really?! That's nuts!

I thought about AS for both sound categories. But I feel like "music movies" tend to sneak one of them a lot. Maybe that's dumb. I should look that up, actually. But I won't be surprised if AS wins both. And I might even change it by the time I fill out my ballot tonight.

I try to go almost entirely off of probability/math/other wins these days, as pretty much every time I try to inject my own thoughts into it (like your "music movies" thinking), it backfires on me.

9 times out of 10 I let other wins lead the way. How do you figure probability/math with something like this?

I let other people do it for me. Like this: http://www.bostonglobe.com/arts/movies/ ... story.html

I notice your link has me winning that category.

It does, but it's awfully close.

[epilogue]

Here are my "official" picks for tonight:

PICTURE - Birdman
DIRECTOR - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
LEAD ACTRESS - Julianne Moore
LEAD ACTOR - Eddie Redmayne
SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Patricia Arquette
SUPPORTING ACTOR - JK Simmons
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - The Grand Budapest Hotel
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Imitation Game
CINEMATOGRAPHY - Birdman
FILM EDITING - Boyhood
PRODUCTION DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
MAKE-UP & HAIR - The Grand Budapest Hotel
COSTUME DESIGN - The Grand Budapest Hotel
SOUND MIXING - Whiplash
SOUND EDITING - American Sniper
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE - Ida
VISUAL EFFECTS - Intersteller
ORIGINAL SONG - Glory (from Selma)
ORIGINAL SCORE - The Theory of Everything
ANIMATED FEATURE - How to Train Your Dragon 2
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - Citizenfour
LIVE ACTION SHORT - The Phone Call
ANIMATED SHORT - Feast
DOCUMENTARY SHORT - Crisis Hotline

Sometimes I'm really good at this and sometimes I'm just the worst. I haven't seen much of anything that's nominated and I have a tremendous Birdman bias.... So, we'll see. I tried to be fair and look at who won the other awards and whatnot. Some of this is just throwing a dart though.

Ha! Those are all my picks exactly except for Sound Mixing, for which I chose American Sniper.

Really?! That's nuts!

I thought about AS for both sound categories. But I feel like "music movies" tend to sneak one of them a lot. Maybe that's dumb. I should look that up, actually. But I won't be surprised if AS wins both. And I might even change it by the time I fill out my ballot tonight.

I try to go almost entirely off of probability/math/other wins these days, as pretty much every time I try to inject my own thoughts into it (like your "music movies" thinking), it backfires on me.

9 times out of 10 I let other wins lead the way. How do you figure probability/math with something like this?

I let other people do it for me. Like this: http://www.bostonglobe.com/arts/movies/ ... story.html

I notice your link has me winning that category.

It does, but it's awfully close.

And there's gotta be a few surprises, right?

Good luck in tonight. I hope you win all the money.