Re: Election 2016
Posted: Wed November 09, 2016 3:01 am
FUCK ICE
tragabigzanda wrote:Ben Affleck.lennytheweedwhacker wrote:did we ever figure out who tom brady voted for?
tragabigzanda wrote:Ben Affleck.lennytheweedwhacker wrote:did we ever figure out who tom brady voted for?
jwfocker wrote:tragabigzanda wrote:Ben Affleck.lennytheweedwhacker wrote:did we ever figure out who tom brady voted for?
And there will still be a bunch of middle class white dudes, huddled together in a nuclear winter, saying "Hillary was just as bad".spike wrote:Nuclear codes. Four years may be more than ANY of us have.dimejinky99 wrote:Look. It's only 4 years. It'll fly by.
Yeah, I'm starting to think the same thing.tragabigzanda wrote:Some pretty big states looking very different from Nate Silver's predictions. I know there's a long way to go to 100% reporting in most of these, but something tells me that a lot of the new registered voters are Trump supporters that Silver didn't account for. Whoops.
trag, I love you. I really do. Nate Silver doesn't account for Trump supporters, pollsters do. He just goes with the data he has. He's been wringing his hands for months because he's heard stories of pollsters throwing out outliers--for example, people throwing out polls where Trump was close or winning in Virginia--and if polls like those were in the model, there's a chance it'd be closer.tragabigzanda wrote:Some pretty big states looking very different from Nate Silver's predictions. I know there's a long way to go to 100% reporting in most of these, but something tells me that a lot of the new registered voters are Trump supporters that Silver didn't account for. Whoops.
Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire.digster wrote:If she keeps VA, it basically all comes down to Michigan, correct?
Wisconsin is also in play. And NH. And do we trust NV exit polls right now?digster wrote:If she keeps VA, it basically all comes down to Michigan, correct?
Yeah, MI being the big one is predicated on WI holding and the early voting in Nevada putting it in her corner.4/5 wrote:Wisconsin is also in play. And NH. And do we trust NV exit polls right now?digster wrote:If she keeps VA, it basically all comes down to Michigan, correct?