Election 2016

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Simple Torture
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Simple Torture »

tragabigzanda wrote:
tragabigzanda wrote:
Simple Torture wrote:
tragabigzanda wrote:Some pretty big states looking very different from Nate Silver's predictions. I know there's a long way to go to 100% reporting in most of these, but something tells me that a lot of the new registered voters are Trump supporters that Silver didn't account for. Whoops.
trag, I love you. I really do. Nate Silver doesn't account for Trump supporters, pollsters do. He just goes with the data he has. He's been wringing his hands for months because he's heard stories of pollsters throwing out outliers--for example, people throwing out polls where Trump was close or winning in Virginia--and if polls like those were in the model, there's a chance it'd be closer.
I hadn't heard this, thanks for the insight. And my problem isn't with Silver, per se. It's with a media that has become so obsessed with polls and numbers rather than asking important questions of the candidates and constituents.
But I do hate the way Silver tries to make his hairline look better than it really is. His avatar on 538 makes it look like he's got a full head of hair, but we know this isn't true. His whole dome is rigged, drain the swamp.
He's on ABC right now and holy shit, he looks like hell.
McParadigm wrote:lol
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4/5
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Re: Election 2016

Post by 4/5 »

Simple Torture wrote:
tragabigzanda wrote:
tragabigzanda wrote:
Simple Torture wrote:
tragabigzanda wrote:Some pretty big states looking very different from Nate Silver's predictions. I know there's a long way to go to 100% reporting in most of these, but something tells me that a lot of the new registered voters are Trump supporters that Silver didn't account for. Whoops.
trag, I love you. I really do. Nate Silver doesn't account for Trump supporters, pollsters do. He just goes with the data he has. He's been wringing his hands for months because he's heard stories of pollsters throwing out outliers--for example, people throwing out polls where Trump was close or winning in Virginia--and if polls like those were in the model, there's a chance it'd be closer.
I hadn't heard this, thanks for the insight. And my problem isn't with Silver, per se. It's with a media that has become so obsessed with polls and numbers rather than asking important questions of the candidates and constituents.
But I do hate the way Silver tries to make his hairline look better than it really is. His avatar on 538 makes it look like he's got a full head of hair, but we know this isn't true. His whole dome is rigged, drain the swamp.
He's on ABC right now and holy shit, he looks like hell.
You'd think he'd care even a little bit about how he looks...
"I want to see the whole picture--as nearly as I can. I don't want to put on the blinders of 'good and bad,' and limit my vision."-- In Dubious Battle

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96583UP
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Re: Election 2016

Post by 96583UP »

god help us all
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Citizen Dick
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Citizen Dick »

Mountain Dew has already called the election.

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Green Habit
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Green Habit »

4/5 wrote:You'd think he'd care even a little bit about how he looks...
I haven't been watching ABC, but I actually gain more respect for someone who doesn't give much of a shit of how he looks.
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Bi_3
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Bi_3 »

Trump wins ohio
"The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
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Bi_3
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Bi_3 »

And Jesus , is Michael Moore transitioning genders?
"The fatal flaw of all revolutionaries is that they know how to tear things down but don't have a f**king clue about how to build anything."
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Strat
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Strat »

Legit physical reaction right now.
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96583UP
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Re: Election 2016

Post by 96583UP »

we're fucked

oh boy

buy gold
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4/5
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Re: Election 2016

Post by 4/5 »

NBC calls Virginia for Hillary.
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Birds in Hell
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Birds in Hell »

Strat wrote:Legit physical reaction right now.
Everything's going to be OK, Strat.
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Monkey_Driven
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Monkey_Driven »

4/5 wrote:NBC calls Virginia for Hillary.
Thank the Lord.
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wease
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Re: Election 2016

Post by wease »

Fuck guys. He's gonna win, isn't he?
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Bi_3
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Bi_3 »

wease wrote:Fuck guys. He's gonna win, isn't he?
I would put money on it
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Norah
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Norah »

unless hrc flips michigan, yep
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BDB
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Re: Election 2016

Post by BDB »

holy mother of god, have mercy on our souls.
.
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Anders
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Anders »

87% chance of Trump winning according to the NY Times.
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Simple Torture
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Re: Election 2016

Post by Simple Torture »

My wife's already crying; thanks a lot, America.
McParadigm wrote:lol
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96583UP
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Re: Election 2016

Post by 96583UP »

Mods, lock this thread please
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McParadigm
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Re: Election 2016

Post by McParadigm »

Bi_3 wrote:And Jesus , is Michael Moore transitioning genders?
:lol:
(patriotic choking noises)
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