Red Mosquito

tragabigzanda wrote:

tragabigzanda wrote:

Simple Torture wrote:

tragabigzanda wrote:Some pretty big states looking very different from Nate Silver's predictions. I know there's a long way to go to 100% reporting in most of these, but something tells me that a lot of the new registered voters are Trump supporters that Silver didn't account for. Whoops.

trag, I love you. I really do. Nate Silver doesn't account for Trump supporters, pollsters do. He just goes with the data he has. He's been wringing his hands for months because he's heard stories of pollsters throwing out outliers--for example, people throwing out polls where Trump was close or winning in Virginia--and if polls like those were in the model, there's a chance it'd be closer.

I hadn't heard this, thanks for the insight. And my problem isn't with Silver, per se. It's with a media that has become so obsessed with polls and numbers rather than asking important questions of the candidates and constituents.

But I do hate the way Silver tries to make his hairline look better than it really is. His avatar on 538 makes it look like he's got a full head of hair, but we know this isn't true. His whole dome is rigged, drain the swamp.

Simple Torture wrote:

tragabigzanda wrote:

tragabigzanda wrote:

Simple Torture wrote:

tragabigzanda wrote:Some pretty big states looking very different from Nate Silver's predictions. I know there's a long way to go to 100% reporting in most of these, but something tells me that a lot of the new registered voters are Trump supporters that Silver didn't account for. Whoops.

trag, I love you. I really do. Nate Silver doesn't account for Trump supporters, pollsters do. He just goes with the data he has. He's been wringing his hands for months because he's heard stories of pollsters throwing out outliers--for example, people throwing out polls where Trump was close or winning in Virginia--and if polls like those were in the model, there's a chance it'd be closer.

I hadn't heard this, thanks for the insight. And my problem isn't with Silver, per se. It's with a media that has become so obsessed with polls and numbers rather than asking important questions of the candidates and constituents.

But I do hate the way Silver tries to make his hairline look better than it really is. His avatar on 538 makes it look like he's got a full head of hair, but we know this isn't true. His whole dome is rigged, drain the swamp.

He's on ABC right now and holy shit, he looks like hell.

4/5 wrote:You'd think he'd care even a little bit about how he looks...

Strat wrote:Legit physical reaction right now.

4/5 wrote:NBC calls Virginia for Hillary.

wease wrote:Fuck guys. He's gonna win, isn't he?

Bi_3 wrote:And Jesus , is Michael Moore transitioning genders?