Red Mosquito

tragabigzanda wrote:

Mickey wrote:The argument, at least as I've seen it on Twitter, is that the vote totals from the 438 precincts on Milwaukee don't follow Benford's Law. This ignores things like the fact that that's not really a random data set, or that it's not a particularly large one, or that it doesn't really span different orders of magnitude. But again, there's tons of research on why Benford's Law doesn't accurately predict election fraud, though since Mac just learned about this concept today I suspect he has more reading to do.

Credit where it’s due: Learning Benford’s Law AND posting a bunch of she-male porn in the same day is really something else.

Link? (For verification purposes)

How much of the shift in Trump support was about anti Covid lockdown sentiment? I mean, I don't see how the feds could over-rule local and state policies on this, but I could understand the sentiment.

He wasn't ever going to lock up the Zoom-class vote anyhow.

If anything Trump probably gained support from people tired of virus security theater

verb_to_trust wrote:If anything Trump probably gained support from people tired of virus security theater

I really don't understand Biden's debate responses to covid-19.
Isn't he disgusted and pissed off at Trump's incompetent, criminally negligent governance?

Seems to me the majority of Americans aren't really following the actual government response to the fucking pandemic that's dictating their way of life.
Masks are great and to be promoted and talk of shut downs quickly moved on from.

if I'm Biden, I want the voters to know how much I can't wait to kick that asshole out of office and start making smart decisions.
No more screwing around with HHS and the CDC, the FDA, producing and procuring PPE for the states, and all of the federal coordination that a competent president would bring.
That doesn't even get into the economic response.

Mickey wrote:The argument, at least as I've seen it on Twitter, is that the vote totals from the 438 precincts on Milwaukee don't follow Benford's Law. This ignores things like the fact that that's not really a random data set, or that it's not a particularly large one, or that it doesn't really span different orders of magnitude. But again, there's tons of research on why Benford's Law doesn't accurately predict election fraud, though since Mac just learned about this concept today I suspect he has more reading to do.

Without seeing the actual data sets, it also on the surface is counterintuitive.

Benford's law tags fraud where for instance there are more 900's in a population rather than 1,000's.

It's the 1,000's however that would be winning the vote, so the argument just doesn't make sense.

The Town wrote:

verb_to_trust wrote:If anything Trump probably gained support from people tired of virus security theater

I really don't understand Biden's debate responses to covid-19.
Isn't he disgusted and pissed off at Trump's incompetent, criminally negligent governance?

Seems to me the majority of Americans aren't really following the actual government response to the fucking pandemic that's dictating their way of life.
Masks are great and to be promoted and talk of shut downs quickly moved on from.

if I'm Biden, I want the voters to know how much I can't wait to kick that asshole out of office and start making smart decisions.
No more screwing around with HHS and the CDC, the FDA, producing and procuring PPE for the states, and all of the federal coordination that a competent president would bring.
That doesn't even get into the economic response.

The CDC and the FDA are huge parts of the problem. They and NIOSH probably should be scrapped for the duration.

I have no idea what Benford's Law is and I refuse to look into it

Philly about to decide whose gonna blast us in the ass the next 4 years.

The Argonaut wrote:I have no idea what Benford's Law is and I refuse to look into it

Look into it...

Macphisto, you're like a bizarro right wing retardgate-era tree_, but without the je ne sais quoi.

Thank you, warsh.

Incredibly cool and chill.

Major bd energy.

macphisto wrote:Major bd energy.

Trump has a small one

You thinking micro or even smaller?

As teeny as the less than 2,000 votes Trump's lead shrunk to in GA

Look forward to this being finished.

Anders wrote:Look forward to this being finished.

It's only just the start of Act III.

Biden has the lead in Georgia. Up by 917 votes.