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Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 5:19 pm
by Simple Torture
I almost forgot this year, but at the last minute the Disney overlords who hold the contracts to my children's souls sent me a message via blood magic to remind me to start this year's thread. If you don't know the deal, here's the skinny:

1. You'e guessing the opening weekend gross (Thursday through Sunday, December 19th to December 22nd) of Star Wars Episode IX: The Rise of Skywalker, in the U.S. only.
2. Your guess should be rendered in whole-numbered millions only. So $100m is okay, so is $101m, so is $247m--but you can't guess any further digits (i.e., $100,500,700) and you can't guess halves or cents (so $105.5m is a no-go).
3. We're going to wait until final numbers come out after the end of the weekend--quite frequently, there will be an estimate put out on Sunday morning, but we're going to wait for the final numbers (people never fucking understand this, you fucking idiots), which usually come late Monday/early Tuesday.
4. We're going to be using numbers from boxofficemojo.com
5. There are no prizes; you just get to gloat and know that you are better than anyone else.
6. Please submit your guesses by Wednesday, December 18th at 8:00PM EST.

Previous Champions:
2018 - Sarge was closest by a long shot due to Solo's worse-than-expected Box office reception, only about $5.5m off the total ($84.4m) (thread)
2017 - durdencommatyler was closest ever, less than $1m off The Last Jedi's total ($220m) (post)
2016 - daft twat was closest at around $8m from Rogue One's total (which was $155m) (post)
2015 - zeb was only $2m off with his guess for Episode VII's opening gross (which was $247m) (post)

Here are some openeing weekend totals as guides:
2019 Top Opening Weekends

1. Avengers: Endgame - $357m
2. The Lion King - $191m
3. Captain Marvel - $154m
4. Frozen II - $130m
5. Toy Story 4 - $121m
Top 10 Opening Weekends of All-Time

1. Avengers: Endgame - $357m
2. Avengers: Infinity War - $257m
3. The Force Awakens - $247m
4. The Last Jedi - $220m
5. Jurassic World - $208m
6. The Avengers - $207m
7. Black Panther - $202m
8. The Lion King (2019) - $191m
9. The Avengers: Age of Ultron - $191m
10. Incredibles 2 - $182m
Star Wars Opening Weekends
1. The Force Awakens - $247m
2. The Last Jedi - $220m
3. Rogue One - $155m
4. Revenge of the Sith - $108m
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $84m
6. Attack of the Clones - $80m
7. The Phantom Menace - $64m
8. Return of the Jedi - $23m
9. The Empire Strikes Back - $7m
10. Star Wars - $1m (lol)

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 5:19 pm
by Simple Torture
Current Guesses:

96583UP: $333m
wease: $287m
logan5ive: $280m
Simple_Torture: $245m
Monkey_Driven: $235m
ruddo: $210m
durdencommatyler: $206m
VinylGuy: $190m
daft twat: $187
blueviper: $185m
burt: $170m

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 5:26 pm
by Monkey_Driven
$235 million

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 5:42 pm
by Simple Torture
$245m

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:03 pm
by E.H. Ruddock
$246m

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:03 pm
by Simple Torture
Ruddo.

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:06 pm
by E.H. Ruddock
Simple Torture wrote:Ruddo.
Jk. I'll come up with one shortly

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:06 pm
by Simple Torture
chud did the same thing to me last year.

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:11 pm
by epilogue
I'm not ready to make my official guess just yet. But right now I'm thinking all of you are guessing too high.

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:23 pm
by Monkey_Driven
durdencommatyler wrote:I'm not ready to make my official guess just yet. But right now I'm thinking all of you are guessing too high.
Make a guess coward!

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:24 pm
by Simple Torture
Monkey_Driven wrote:
durdencommatyler wrote:I'm not ready to make my official guess just yet. But right now I'm thinking all of you are guessing too high.
Make a guess coward!
That's the spirit.

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:26 pm
by 96583UP
$333 million

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:32 pm
by VinylGuy
190 m

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:46 pm
by epilogue
Monkey_Driven wrote:
durdencommatyler wrote:I'm not ready to make my official guess just yet. But right now I'm thinking all of you are guessing too high.
Make a guess coward!
Give me a second, jeez

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:47 pm
by E.H. Ruddock
$210m

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 6:48 pm
by epilogue
Imma go $214m

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 7:05 pm
by wease
durdencommatyler wrote:I'm not ready to make my official guess just yet. But right now I'm thinking all of you are guessing too high.
Nah. They're too low. It's the last one, remember? Look at what Endgame did.

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 7:06 pm
by wease
$287

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 7:06 pm
by epilogue
wease wrote:
durdencommatyler wrote:I'm not ready to make my official guess just yet. But right now I'm thinking all of you are guessing too high.
Nah. They're too low. It's the last one, remember? Look at what Endgame did.
Apples and oranges, my man.

Re: Gue$$ The Opening Weekend Gross - Rise of Skywalker

Posted: Fri December 13, 2019 7:18 pm
by wease
durdencommatyler wrote:
wease wrote:
durdencommatyler wrote:I'm not ready to make my official guess just yet. But right now I'm thinking all of you are guessing too high.
Nah. They're too low. It's the last one, remember? Look at what Endgame did.
Apples and oranges, my man.
Oh it won't do as well as Endgame, but the promise of it being the last Skywalker film will drag more than a few trolls out from under their bridges.