Red Mosquito

Are you saying Turkey needs a little freedom?

Peter Zeihan is one of those guys that I can't figure out how much weight to give to his positions. Seems way too optimistic about the US, way too pessimistic about China. Those that closely follow China seem especially critical of him.

Bammer wrote:Are you saying Turkey needs a little freedom?

tragabigzanda wrote:

simple schoolboy wrote:Peter Zeihan is one of those guys that I can't figure out how much weight to give to his positions. Seems way too optimistic about the US, way too pessimistic about China. Those that closely follow China seem especially critical of him.

I don't think he'll be right about everything -- but as a working model of where we are headed, I think his is the most grounded I've come across. What specifically is it about his views on China that others push back on? Dexter Roberts is also pessimistic about China, and he seems like a pretty qualified guy.

Mainly that China has more runway than Zeihan credits them. Some level of economic decline is coming, but there's not going to be a total collapse within the next decade. Doesn't Zeihan say the game is up for China by 2030 or so?

Wouldn't we expect crypto to be higher if capital controls were imminent?

Monkey_Driven wrote:

Please take this to The Weight Loss thread in Sports.

What the fuck has Mac Jones ever won that’s worthy of a victory cigar?

He read this book, bammer.

He's made some pretty recent claims about Russian Nat Gas/ Oil well heads/pipes freezing up due to condensate. Might be specific enough to be falsifiable.

tragabigzanda wrote:

simple schoolboy wrote:He's made some pretty recent claims about Russian Nat Gas/ Oil well heads/pipes freezing up due to condensate. Might be specific enough to be falsifiable.

Also covered by Zeihan!

Shit, sorry, this referred to Zeihan, not whoever Mac Jones is. I am also at a loss there.

tragabigzanda wrote:Ah. Yeah, I hadn’t seen those recent claims but in the book he discusses the inherent difficulties in piping oil/NG through thousands of miles of sub-zero temps.

Yeah, he seems to claim too much niche knowledge in too many domains. And then he turns around and gives paid speeches at obscure state schools. He's somewhere on the under appreciated polymath to talking out of his ass spectrum is all I can figure.

That his outlook generally flatters his audience might indicate which way his bias operates.