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Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed October 28, 2020 5:57 pm
by Simple Torture
Sure hope I'm wrong about Trump. My prediction about a woman being elected president could come due sooner rather than later.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed October 28, 2020 5:58 pm
by 4/5
Bottom paged.
4/5 wrote:Header post finally updated!

A lot more misses than makes so far. There's a bunch of election-related predictions that will be coming due in the next few days so there should be handful of hits about to come through.

There are a few predictions that I'm either not familiar with or I'm not sure how we judge it. Like, was the wall funded by 2020? 371 miles of wall have been built, though most of that is replacing old walls/fencing. Idk how to judge this one.

Not sure how to judge trag's: "States will reopen out of economic necessity/lack of Federal support. Distancing and the ability to work from home will become a pleasure of the haves, while illness and death will become the reality for have-nots (and the ignorant and stupid)." The spirit of this feels right, but it's not as quantifiable as other predictions.

Argo, 4/5, Green Habit, 96583UP all have 1 correct prediction.
Argo and Mickey both have 1/2 a right prediction, but missed on the main idea of the prediction.
Simple Torture missed with his overly precise prediction of RBG's death, but the spirit of his prediction was sadly right on.
Also gonna get some work done. Anybody know if Trag's prediction about mass shootings was right?

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed October 28, 2020 5:59 pm
by Mickey
I think trag's reopening prediction is essentially right.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed October 28, 2020 5:59 pm
by 4/5
Simple Torture wrote:Sure hope I'm wrong about Trump.
Really hope I'm right.

Kinda like our respective RBG predictions.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed October 28, 2020 6:00 pm
by doug rr
don't forget my civil war prediction..i have may got the date wrong but......

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed October 28, 2020 6:01 pm
by 4/5
doug rr wrote:don't forget my civil war prediction..i have may got the date wrong but......
:thumbsup:
I have your civil war after the election prediction in there. You had mentioned it a couple times before without a time frame I think.

Enjoy surfing Vancouver!

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 5:36 pm
by Mickey
Mickey wrote:
Mickey wrote:Putting it here. Biden is going to lose by more than 77 electoral college votes.
Mickey wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
bart wrote:Yeah things were looking pretty dodgy for Biden before coronovirus, couple more weeks and Bernie would have had him I’m sure
:haha:

Bernie is by far the most pro-Trump reelection politician in DC.
There's a prediction thread so maybe I should put it there, but here goes: Biden is going to lose to Trump by a wider electoral college margin than Hillary did.
In my defense I could not have imagined a COVID response this inept, but I'm definitely going to eat shit on this one.
If you think about it, I was technically correct to predict that my previous prediction would be wrong.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 6:19 pm
by simple schoolboy
Mickey wrote:
Mickey wrote:
Mickey wrote:Putting it here. Biden is going to lose by more than 77 electoral college votes.
Mickey wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
bart wrote:Yeah things were looking pretty dodgy for Biden before coronovirus, couple more weeks and Bernie would have had him I’m sure
:haha:

Bernie is by far the most pro-Trump reelection politician in DC.
There's a prediction thread so maybe I should put it there, but here goes: Biden is going to lose to Trump by a wider electoral college margin than Hillary did.
In my defense I could not have imagined a COVID response this inept, but I'm definitely going to eat shit on this one.
If you think about it, I was technically correct to predict that my previous prediction would be wrong.
Technically correct is the best kind of correct.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 6:25 pm
by 4/5
Mickey wrote:
Mickey wrote:
Mickey wrote:Putting it here. Biden is going to lose by more than 77 electoral college votes.
Mickey wrote:
Bi_3 wrote:
bart wrote:Yeah things were looking pretty dodgy for Biden before coronovirus, couple more weeks and Bernie would have had him I’m sure
:haha:

Bernie is by far the most pro-Trump reelection politician in DC.
There's a prediction thread so maybe I should put it there, but here goes: Biden is going to lose to Trump by a wider electoral college margin than Hillary did.
In my defense I could not have imagined a COVID response this inept, but I'm definitely going to eat shit on this one.
If you think about it, I was technically correct to predict that my previous prediction would be wrong.
Header post updated!
Spoiler: show
Mickey:
(some time after 4/8/20) I'm definitely going to eat shit on this one.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 7:10 pm
by tragabigzanda
FUCK ICE

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 10:07 pm
by Mickey
I would say yes but you have to pick one of the wildfires, it can't be ALL FIRES anymore than it can be ALL HURRICANES

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 10:07 pm
by Mickey
Dems lose the presidency in 2024.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 10:14 pm
by BurtReynolds
tragabigzanda wrote:
tragabigzanda wrote:one massive environmental catastrophe (100K+ dead or displaced
Do the wildfires qualify?
yeah

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 11:52 pm
by Norah
Mickey wrote:Dems lose the presidency in 2024.
Dems win the Presidency in 2024 but not with an incumbent.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 11:53 pm
by Mickey
Fuck now I gotta keep posting here for four more years to prove that I'm right.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 11:53 pm
by Norah
oh the horror

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 11:57 pm
by Mickey
In my mind, incumbent would include a VP who has assumed the presidency, but would not include a primary challenger.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 11:58 pm
by Norah
I'm thinking more on the lines of the incumbent decides not to seek the nomination in 2024.

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Wed November 04, 2020 11:59 pm
by Mickey
What are the rules on that? If Biden just plans to step down after his term, would Kamala have to win a primary?

Re: Official Prediction Thread

Posted: Thu November 05, 2020 12:00 am
by Norah
I assume so. How did it work in 1968?